TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Nanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Ducksof Nanjing Monkey King, Beijing Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Beijing Ducks77c16,017$12,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.772445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nanjing Monkey King28c7,386$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.3543543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Nanjing Monkey King22c3,871$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.742030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nanjing Monkey King19c3,627$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.876246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Nanjing Monkey King28c3,119$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.1937052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Beijing Ducks56c2,654$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nanjing Monkey King37c2,108$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.716828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nanjing Monkey King19c1,580$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1235234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Beijing Ducks65c1,565$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.392846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Nanjing Monkey King20c1,440$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.131376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick44cpaid+79.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Nanjing Monkey King17c1,209$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.71030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Nanjing Monkey King20c1,200$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nanjing Monkey King42c1,186$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.839746.4%45 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Nanjing Monkey King36c1,129$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.046116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Beijing Ducks78c1,038$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Nanjing Monkey King30c990.35$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.165238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Beijing Ducks71c894.51$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8228943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nanjing Monkey King19c891.8$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4721535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Beijing Ducks48c887.78$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.214037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Nanjing Monkey King22c815.36$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2322231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Nanjing Monkey King46c815.23$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.734533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nanjing Monkey King21c675.38$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8836939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Nanjing Monkey King26c670.41$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.42050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…06dcbacked Nanjing Monkey King35c660.53$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nanjing Monkey King44c636.5$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.917646.1%35 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Ducks56c583.06$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8654251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nanjing Monkey King36c555.07$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.625848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Nanjing Monkey King18c551.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.122450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nanjing Monkey King17c545.79$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1624430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Nanjing Monkey King26c543.9$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.041931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Beijing Ducks79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Nanjing Monkey King22c467.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.617031.4%22 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed Beijing Ducks54c449.12$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.041855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7269…561dbacked Nanjing Monkey King23c430.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Beijing Ducks79c428.07$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.915046%23 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Beijing Ducks65c402.79$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Beijing Ducks74c401.3$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.773458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Beijing Ducks72c373.84$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.81757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Nanjing Monkey King34c359.8$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.334920.4%10 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Nanjing Monkey King25c308.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.131030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nanjing Monkey King25c290.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0534344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Beijing Ducks60c286.78$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.711435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Nanjing Monkey King43c272.86$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4684…3944backed Nanjing Monkey King26c255.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Beijing Ducks78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2812042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2367…93a1backed Nanjing Monkey King38c249.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.571250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Beijing Ducks55c233.49$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nanjing Monkey King51c231.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.796061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Beijing Ducks73c226.4$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.723745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Nanjing Monkey King22c206.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.452937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Beijing Ducks78c204.47$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.987159.2%42 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Nanjing Monkey King32c202.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.724660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Beijing Ducks75c198.9$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.346642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nanjing Monkey King27c198.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1825517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x80af…5a55backed Nanjing Monkey King27c197.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+90.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c38…b85abacked Nanjing Monkey King24c196.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Nanjing Monkey King28c191.48$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.173040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Beijing Ducks80c190.86$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.331040%4 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-36.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34b7…7b0dbacked Beijing Ducks60c172.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.741833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Beijing Ducks58c169.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Beijing Ducks58c150.76$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.312045%9 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a7…b7abbacked Beijing Ducks78c139.06$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.06540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Nanjing Monkey King22c130.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Nanjing Monkey King44c129.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Nanjing Monkey King31c129.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.194548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Beijing Ducks79c124.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.89366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0fa…4cf6backed Beijing Ducks76c124$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Nanjing Monkey King39c123.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dab…a38dbacked Beijing Ducks57c122$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Nanjing Monkey King22c115.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.331020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Nanjing Monkey King36c114.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.831752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Beijing Ducks75c108.6$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.987462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Beijing Ducks78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Beijing Ducks78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2213751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Beijing Ducks79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Beijing Ducks55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked Beijing Ducks55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Nanjing Monkey King29c98.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Nanjing Monkey King28c97.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.444643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Nanjing Monkey King21c94.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-76%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Nanjing Monkey King42c93.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4210926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Beijing Ducks55c91.37$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Nanjing Monkey King57c86.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Nanjing Monkey King24c81.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.567241.7%30 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f08…7897backed Beijing Ducks62c79.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Nanjing Monkey King32c78.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3440%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked Beijing Ducks80c77.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked Nanjing Monkey King42c75.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.531717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Beijing Ducks80c71.8$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.361275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Beijing Ducks72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x429a…7745backed Nanjing Monkey King31c67.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Nanjing Monkey King30c66.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Beijing Ducks75c65.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Beijing Ducks76c64.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4519748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a7…3576backed Beijing Ducks73c61.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Beijing Ducks71c59.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.664431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd26…0574backed Beijing Ducks73c59.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.311070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Nanjing Monkey King18c59.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…90e5backed Nanjing Monkey King37c59.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Nanjing Monkey King23c55.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.692030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.