TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LNG Esportsof Oh My God, LNG Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$534,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$558,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Oh My God36c137,328$49,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,056.1855955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LNG Esports64c116,927$74,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,080.371,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe96f…ff4bbacked Oh My God39c49,024$19,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,021.147838.5%30 W · 48 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed LNG Esports64c24,001$15,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,640.5364155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed LNG Esports62c21,548$13,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,217.771,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Oh My God36c19,100$6,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,87619239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Oh My God37c18,888$6,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,988.521,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76cf…9452backed Oh My God36c17,331$6,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,238.9910941.3%45 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LNG Esports64c15,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4003,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed LNG Esports63c14,031$8,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,234.9652848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked LNG Esports61c13,812$8,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,347.491,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked LNG Esports61c12,600$7,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,945.981,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Oh My God40c10,411$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,207.2735634.8%124 W · 232 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Oh My God35c10,379$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.5823439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a83…f94dbacked Oh My God38c10,279$3,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,906.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed LNG Esports64c9,473$6,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.2716454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2432…03c9backed LNG Esports61c8,802$5,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb26a…fbe9backed LNG Esports61c8,543$5,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x271c…6a19backed LNG Esports61c8,214$5,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c2…3696backed LNG Esports61c7,985$4,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed LNG Esports59c7,512$4,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.9559450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed LNG Esports64c7,500$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Oh My God3c6,760$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.691,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Oh My God10c6,325$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.114035.7%50 W · 90 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e2…d154backed Oh My God14c6,320$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.610253.9%55 W · 47 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed LNG Esports63c6,153$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.6653750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed LNG Esports57c5,575$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.0636433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Oh My God2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Oh My God16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0e…bf45backed LNG Esports61c4,981$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.464238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b10…76d6backed LNG Esports61c4,965$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Oh My God43c4,860$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.6548742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Oh My God39c4,757$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.1914346.9%67 W · 76 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked LNG Esports60c4,500$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9970456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed LNG Esports64c3,998$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.237958.2%46 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Oh My God32c3,700$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17677131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Oh My God16c3,250$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9942924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Oh My God40c3,176$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.1610831.5%34 W · 74 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Oh My God32c3,000$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.51,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Oh My God36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08049541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Oh My God39c2,746$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.1313135.1%46 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed Oh My God4c2,517$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2213037.7%49 W · 81 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed LNG Esports64c2,241$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.676651.5%34 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed LNG Esports77c2,214$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.731,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Oh My God41c2,184$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.5142735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Oh My God36c2,067$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.9516845.2%76 W · 92 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…408cbacked Oh My God38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9914754.4%80 W · 67 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1711…5698backed LNG Esports61c1,983$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Oh My God10c1,910$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0173237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Oh My God14c1,811$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9969539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf2…76f0backed LNG Esports63c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+185.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fd0…047fbacked Oh My God27c1,581$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.52520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a35…de38backed Oh My God9c1,556$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.925230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LNG Esports65c1,522$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.591,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed LNG Esports63c1,467$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.6810648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed LNG Esports61c1,465$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Oh My God31c1,463$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.4514228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b0…1c31backed Oh My God12c1,384$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4110824.1%26 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Oh My God32c1,379$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.951,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed LNG Esports61c1,357$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.4130151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Oh My God29c1,293$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.771,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Oh My God7c1,290$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.326410.9%7 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick11cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Oh My God15c1,260$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6834342%144 W · 199 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Oh My God39c1,218$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9621440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked LNG Esports61c1,201$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.2911959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Oh My God37c1,172$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5317838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked LNG Esports61c1,164$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.932060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed LNG Esports61c1,121$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Oh My God39c1,107$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9828734.1%98 W · 189 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Oh My God35c1,097$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.6567549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed LNG Esports63c1,094$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0986144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed LNG Esports67c1,092$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2749461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Oh My God39c1,071$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8743739.8%174 W · 263 L-23.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed LNG Esports64c1,070$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.224147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Oh My God37c1,067$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.8196250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Oh My God38c1,050$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39935243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked LNG Esports69c1,029$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3624227.7%67 W · 175 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Oh My God17c1,002$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1649841.6%207 W · 291 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed LNG Esports64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6563…5025backed Oh My God37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed Oh My God14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Oh My God5c999.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4738837.4%145 W · 243 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Oh My God40c999.39$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.4322644.2%100 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed Oh My God39c988.1$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.367630.3%23 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Oh My God13c958.51$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.612725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked LNG Esports72c941.55$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2582044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed LNG Esports62c913.68$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.24252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed LNG Esports78c892.52$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.939152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Oh My God16c868$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.889938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Oh My God36c829.42$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5949940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Oh My God36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2884546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Oh My God38c769.96$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7717325.4%44 W · 129 L-19.5wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Oh My God37c769.76$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8189347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked LNG Esports62c755.38$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0412352%64 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Oh My God16c748.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.781,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Oh My God9c747.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.735833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Oh My God39c741.08$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0217729.9%53 W · 124 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542b…8aa7backed Oh My God14c711.63$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.93625%9 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LNG Esports61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed LNG Esports65c694.5$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.078633.7%29 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.