TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Under26c8,699$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.641,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over74c5,401$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.961,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.931,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5157…596fbacked Over74c2,201$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under26c1,997$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3347047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under32c1,419$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5614852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over74c1,242$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.281,16866.1%772 W · 396 L+69.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under27c1,045$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8869741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over73c1,028$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.556858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over75c1,000$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3227745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c969.81$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.052,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c895.51$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.852,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over66c866$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6919553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over39c754.77$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.044746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under31c731.86$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1230731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x385f…a21fbacked Over75c620.71$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.181957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over39c585.5$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.71,13331.1%352 W · 781 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under32c512.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.218045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Over68c511.13$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5632555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under52c505.96$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3740441.8%169 W · 235 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under41c503.04$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.411,45943.3%632 W · 827 L-33.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.572,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over67c467.76$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.561,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Under60c464.12$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6110949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.576142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over73c383.56$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5665063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under39c361.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.451,92335.9%690 W · 1,233 L-98.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under36c344.19$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.751,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Over74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8413354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…d64cbacked Over78c319.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8117163.7%109 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over67c294.36$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1449346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under30c292.7$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8531646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4e…e08fbacked Over75c290.95$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over32c285.59$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8537948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.273151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1483…48fabacked Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.164946.9%23 W · 26 L-8.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-27.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Over69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+164.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Over69c249.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.531661.7%195 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…b9c6backed Over75c226.67$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.675540%22 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Under21c225.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3733254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over61c225.2$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.892,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over68c219.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.412347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0026…b117backed Under65c209.63$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.261181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.871,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x712c…717bbacked Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Over73c199.97$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9919470.6%137 W · 57 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Over74c173.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.146155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78c…fbfdbacked Under29c170.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010339.8%41 W · 62 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over66c162.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9550344.9%226 W · 277 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under31c160.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed Under32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.24035%14 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under44c157.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2117432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9918665.6%122 W · 64 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa8…e33ebacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1411560.9%70 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over74c134.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7763458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Under27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over75c108.05$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.498750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0664…f7f0backed Under28c105.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under61c101.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.861256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2815143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2634960.2%210 W · 139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Under27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2776028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under34c93.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6997254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Over67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5511146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over47c81.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0546452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over61c77.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5335744.5%159 W · 198 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfd4…91f7backed Over62c75.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.512347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x539c…baf4backed Over68c73.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Over39c73.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7577949.9%389 W · 390 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over73c72.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6362942.4%267 W · 362 L-3.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over34c72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.871,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4918863.3%119 W · 69 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Over66c68.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.425436.6%93 W · 161 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdb…a8cdbacked Over74c67.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d72…2d0bbacked Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5712052.5%63 W · 57 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under24c65.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7916654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28d8…eee6backed Over76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.799945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over74c62.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.199953.5%53 W · 46 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565c…585abacked Under65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.286857.4%39 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Under58c60.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356251.6%32 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4e9…076abacked Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.216959.8%101 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8a…2953backed Under30c51.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.324949%24 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+51.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Over75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.511863.6%75 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Over73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7511752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3bd…6becbacked Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132055%11 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb00…5173backed Over67c49.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under26c49.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0112935.7%46 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under41c48.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over66c47.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1653955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…46a7backed Over73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5611257.1%64 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ef…95fcbacked Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101631.3%5 W · 11 L-5.8wins-0.36per pick68cpaid-53.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under37c38.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.295837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eab…1aa4backed Over40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.