Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8896e73c9b06beb04cf9d6dd1c174f74214f5024e9523c19f05d222c235269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof Top Esports, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Top Esports | 19c | 30,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…dc3dbacked Top Esports | 20c | 15,072$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked G2 Esports | 80c | 12,584$10,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.81 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Top Esports | 17c | 5,750$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.44 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…4ef1backed Top Esports | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed G2 Esports | 60c | 4,424$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.74 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Top Esports | 19c | 3,521$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.58 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed G2 Esports | 74c | 3,000$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Top Esports | 46c | 1,808$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.29 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…418bbacked G2 Esports | 72c | 1,690$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.24 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed G2 Esports | 75c | 1,621$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.19 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed G2 Esports | 70c | 1,523$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.88 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed G2 Esports | 50c | 1,129$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.57 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Top Esports | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Top Esports | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Top Esports | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Top Esports | 27c | 600.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Top Esports | 18c | 584.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Top Esports | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 Esports | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Top Esports | 17c | 423.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed G2 Esports | 42c | 380.82$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…48fabacked Top Esports | 57c | 350.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -8.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Top Esports | 59c | 336.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked G2 Esports | 40c | 254.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Top Esports | 19c | 253.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…f5b2backed Top Esports | 50c | 253.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked G2 Esports | 41c | 246.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…b117backed G2 Esports | 73c | 177.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Top Esports | 65c | 172.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 Esports | 40c | 167.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked G2 Esports | 71c | 151.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Top Esports | 29c | 137.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed G2 Esports | 38c | 123.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…fbfdbacked Top Esports | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2397…55bcbacked Top Esports | 20c | 112.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Top Esports | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Top Esports | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…cae0backed Top Esports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 419 | 47%197 W · 222 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Top Esports | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Top Esports | 58c | 86.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked Top Esports | 43c | 74.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Top Esports | 27c | 73.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Top Esports | 38c | 68.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed G2 Esports | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked G2 Esports | 66c | 63.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d58…cd43backed G2 Esports | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Top Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…77acbacked Top Esports | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Esports | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…5919backed Top Esports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Top Esports | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 311 | 59.8%186 W · 125 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Top Esports | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…502ebacked Top Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…092ebacked Top Esports | 64c | 23.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…ed89backed G2 Esports | 70c | 14.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Top Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.