Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5288f6c9ac8f0c10c90d5acde1063a7370f0d2791a9ca86d04909f64451d8c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 38c | 4,264$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.67 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 62c | 3,694$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.32 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 12c | 3,116$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.55 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 9c | 2,712$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.61 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…48fabacked Under | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -8.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 36c | 1,486$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.76 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 37c | 1,355$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.26 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 18c | 775$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked Under | 3c | 566.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 63c | 522.2$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.3 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 508.69$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…4cb9backed Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 21c | 393.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 65c | 388$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 63c | 348.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 347.76$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 62c | 325.77$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 70c | 313.54$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over | 32c | 304.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Under | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Under | 71c | 281.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 38c | 263$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 37c | 193.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 69c | 162$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 66c | 161.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…7f7dbacked Under | 64c | 156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 32c | 154.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 53c | 140.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 39c | 126.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 59c | 117$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 401 | 43.9%176 W · 225 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 64c | 110.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…9318backed Under | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Over | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 38c | 88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 63c | 84.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 45c | 81.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 20c | 77.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 66c | 69.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 69.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 63c | 53.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 52c | 51.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 106 | 73.6%78 W · 28 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…464cbacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…40b3backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 64c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Over | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…ddf8backed Over | 37c | 42.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…7301backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…4d47backed Over | 78c | 38.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 70c | 24.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 52c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 63c | 19.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 69c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349b…9cacbacked Under | 72c | 15.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Top Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.