TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab53…f5b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT4465.9%29 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$24.09
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.66
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.16
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$36.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$66.93
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$107.24
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+206.8%+$124.09
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
First Blood in Game 1?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$73.29
First Blood in Game 2?backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$69.43
First Blood in Game 3?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$43.33
First Blood in Game 2?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$90.56
First Blood in Game 1?backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$66.52
First Blood in Game 3?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.15
First Blood in Game 2?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$63
First Blood in Game 1?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$102.2
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Senegal to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$47.12
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.1
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$62.62
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+174.6%+$43.66
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$79.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.