Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f013c22dee21931fb00e7974583d9200f50109084080feb289e580b7de6743b

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,805 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7986…baa5backed Under	49c	16,750$8,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,497.27	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	51c	11,226$5,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,722.06	460	50.7%233 W · 227 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	55c	2,403$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.89	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	137	35%48 W · 89 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under	49c	1,948$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$989.42	1,521	50.6%769 W · 752 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	50c	1,778$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.17	1,113	39%434 W · 679 L	-44.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under	47c	1,624$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.55	527	50.5%266 W · 261 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…2d49backed Under	50c	999.99$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over	50c	990.2$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over	50c	990$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	217	51.2%111 W · 106 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under	57c	659.71$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.78	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Under	50c	563.52$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.76	201	50.2%101 W · 100 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over	50c	508.13$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.22	343	40.5%139 W · 204 L	-18.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	48c	457.11$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.62	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Over	49c	420$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.8	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over	50c	420$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c52…eaddbacked Over	50c	411$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under	50c	403.42$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.71	960	48.8%468 W · 492 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd29b…5e3dbacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	88	28.4%25 W · 63 L	-12.0wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-43%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54a0…111abacked Over	49c	345.4$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.25	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked Over	50c	330$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over	51c	317.31$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.83	354	42.1%149 W · 205 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	106	34.9%37 W · 69 L	-14.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over	38c	265.35$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.89	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over	50c	220$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x546b…1582backed Over	51c	210$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.1	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-9.3wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	50c	206$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	1,092	52.4%572 W · 520 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over	50c	199.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	30c	188.3$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.05	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Over	51c	184.71$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.2	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over	46c	180.1$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.85	488	44.3%216 W · 272 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	66c	166.64$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.12	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Under	65c	153.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.24	371	61.7%229 W · 142 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Under	50c	153.12$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.17	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Over	49c	151.02$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	109	50.5%55 W · 54 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab53…f5b2backed Under	52c	139.44$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.93	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+6.2wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…2b03backed Over	51c	130$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.3	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	18c	120.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	69c	119.67$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.32	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	47c	118.86$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.11	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	73c	101.28$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.1	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed Over	50c	100.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	462	48.9%226 W · 236 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28d8…eee6backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	31c	97.46$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.72	186	39.2%73 W · 113 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over	23c	89.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8038…9547backed Over	50c	88.03$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.45	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over	49c	72.53$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	148	52%77 W · 71 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f9…3c15backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed Over	50c	52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa108…573ebacked Over	50c	51.28$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…2766backed Over	51c	50.92$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-4.6wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-35%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc124…bd0fbacked Over	43c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	253	32%81 W · 172 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	50c	44.44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.22	626	49.8%312 W · 314 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Over	50c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e97…1815backed Over	50c	40.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	612	56.2%344 W · 268 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…1971backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ad…e34abacked Over	52c	39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf985…d744backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae4…4c34backed Over	47c	36.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4868…91aebacked Over	56c	35.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	59c	33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.44	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c55…e0f8backed Over	50c	32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under	44c	30.8$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.25	348	49.1%171 W · 177 L	+11.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8238…fcb9backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c20…bd85backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb51…f944backed Over	50c	29.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…fec7backed Over	53c	28.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	152	53.9%82 W · 70 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Under	58c	23.86$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.11	283	29.7%84 W · 199 L	-32.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbf84…c609backed Over	50c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	49c	20.9$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	539	55.1%297 W · 242 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…be17backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	358	48.9%175 W · 183 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe602…9446backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d4…fbd5backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)T1 won
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupT1 won
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event