TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf866…eb17backed Dplus KIA73c4,070$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.761070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed T133c2,658$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.0669741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdd…bf86backed Dplus KIA74c2,650$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked T150c2,015$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.7438462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed T127c1,844$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.6846050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Dplus KIA73c1,501$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.7230843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed T127c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0955547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T127c1,110$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.343640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd723…25bfbacked Dplus KIA74c1,081$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed T126c1,052$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.681,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b9…7c77backed T128c1,048$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.032425%6 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed T131c1,002$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.7746257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4873…e5d8backed Dplus KIA74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7402934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ea7…192ebacked T127c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7302951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Dplus KIA71c902.42$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.0647047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Dplus KIA72c870.51$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.7723948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Dplus KIA73c855.75$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.762451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked T127c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7415536.1%56 W · 99 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed T127c707.93$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7916439%64 W · 100 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Dplus KIA71c694.7$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.912,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Dplus KIA73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36566059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked T126c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29624554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Dplus KIA73c369.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.098547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Dplus KIA51c366.63$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed T127c343.39$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.681,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Dplus KIA74c337.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25065063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed T127c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21918831.4%59 W · 129 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Dplus KIA73c297.77$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2521751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked T149c276.02$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7710547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed T126c274.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.381,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fa…f856backed Dplus KIA73c272.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006060%36 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dplus KIA66c244.5$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.872,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc124…bd0fbacked T147c231.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.171250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed T173c227.63$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9897854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842c…cc1ebacked T127c222.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.226139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed T129c219.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.126440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Dplus KIA68c196.01$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2338931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked T128c190$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7135159.5%209 W · 142 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Dplus KIA73c188$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2446248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked T135c187.36$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed T129c172.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7617436.2%63 W · 111 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Dplus KIA46c152.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Dplus KIA71c147.93$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0321347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Dplus KIA72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012757.5%73 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Dplus KIA77c129.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb15…8569backed Dplus KIA75c128.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9613075.4%98 W · 32 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Dplus KIA54c120.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6528329.7%84 W · 199 L-32.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Dplus KIA9c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d32…9973backed T129c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.451030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0072…88b6backed Dplus KIA73c102.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed T127c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.36855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed T129c87.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1434960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…a713backed Dplus KIA60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked T127c82.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1344745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab0…d95ebacked T128c70.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Dplus KIA55c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.215950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf7…e5dbbacked T129c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.972650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+54.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…0a5dbacked T129c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd31a…77aabacked Dplus KIA74c68.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.62466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Dplus KIA30c67.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.181,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed T165c63.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3921155%116 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab53…f5b2backed T138c58.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.044465.9%29 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed T128c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5715953.5%85 W · 74 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked T128c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5710950.5%55 W · 54 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked T128c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.571,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…7bc2backed T129c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Dplus KIA72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3661256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed T126c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3726048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked Dplus KIA72c45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…40b0backed Dplus KIA75c42.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3217060.6%103 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked T146c42.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6534151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Dplus KIA72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014960.4%90 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Dplus KIA51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf985…d744backed Dplus KIA72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Dplus KIA73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023264.2%149 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked T150c24.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4248844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0165…d91bbacked Dplus KIA74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151952.6%10 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick74cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x482a…f1e2backed Dplus KIA73c17.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Dplus KIA72c17.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.639555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda59…6630backed Dplus KIA72c14.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.797252.8%38 W · 34 L-13.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-27.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.