TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal to score first vs. France?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x228b…af4cbacked No71c5,114$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.672,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No74c4,182$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.6465651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes29c3,716$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.335939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c3,629$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.512,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed No75c2,685$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.5319158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes25c2,066$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.4743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4b…6e08backed Yes25c1,978$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.41926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No71c1,613$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.024,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No75c1,430$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.212,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No71c1,225$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0611249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0920…d23abacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Yes29c1,029$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No68c1,019$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.852,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked No74c999.93$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9811243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea2…de87backed Yes29c965.63$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7212320.3%25 W · 98 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c935.82$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…dda4backed Yes25c787.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+228.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes27c742.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No74c711.28$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.591,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d78…c66cbacked Yes27c703.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904015%6 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1131…c6b0backed Yes28c701.91$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No75c695.64$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7517856.2%100 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No71c598$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.432,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfa…5816backed Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502412.5%3 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No69c478.79$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.262,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes27c465.79$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12430818.5%57 W · 251 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes26c465.19$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9547648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Yes26c410$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.67826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d7…101ebacked Yes27c404.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012738.6%49 W · 78 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c396.22$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.053,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No74c395.14$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe043…b415backed Yes26c380$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes32c330.8$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No65c313.47$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9523750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932544%11 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010234.3%35 W · 67 L-13.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No72c276.38$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.481,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No68c265.78$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.422,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No72c238.43$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3537644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542b…8b2ebacked No73c214.33$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.971637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No74c200.74$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.191,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes25c189$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.252,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes25c186.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.534325.6%11 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac6…3684backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…e47fbacked Yes29c141.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.115232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x428a…8889backed Yes26c129.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-57.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308732.2%28 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2612546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2436838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes28c96.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277632.9%25 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b33…6215backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d43…8156backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab53…f5b2backed Yes25c92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28de…1274backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4208…a0c2backed Yes26c82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.322665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce9…4cefbacked Yes26c79.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.57425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+81.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a8…6423backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+102.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fa…856bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8871…22f4backed Yes26c75.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked No74c74.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.532254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes14c74.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf28b…6b6ebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205228.8%15 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3623…4639backed Yes27c73.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb504…2f85backed Yes28c72.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189942.4%42 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed Yes29c68.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd0…6258backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb487…34f8backed No75c66.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.542360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbc…aa33backed Yes25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes32c62.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209140.7%37 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0b7…d63dbacked Yes32c61.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203831.6%12 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes29c59.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1242336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0409…a2febacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…d940backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid+56.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ba…5b7ebacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf37…dafbbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152040%8 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Yes27c54.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6510447.1%49 W · 55 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Yes30c53.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes47c51.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1522560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc739…2356backed Yes29c50.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6170%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes32c48.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4849426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ee…0f92backed Yes25c47.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.262,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f1…1659backed Yes25c43.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…f6d6backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d1…48b0backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107736.4%28 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…e684backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d17…9df1backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410426%27 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.