Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal to score first vs. France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc95d0ab27c97a48d8e4722d9319254ec32c50b49fc9f03fd96afc1be46ff5c12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 71c | 5,114$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.67 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 4,182$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.64 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 29c | 3,716$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.33 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 3,629$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.51 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 75c | 2,685$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.53 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 25c | 2,066$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.47 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4b…6e08backed Yes | 25c | 1,978$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 1,613$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.02 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 75c | 1,430$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.21 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 71c | 1,225$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.06 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…d23abacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 29c | 1,029$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 1,019$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.85 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 74c | 999.93$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 29c | 965.63$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 935.82$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…dda4backed Yes | 25c | 787.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +228.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 27c | 742.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 74c | 711.28$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.59 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…c66cbacked Yes | 27c | 703.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1131…c6b0backed Yes | 28c | 701.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 75c | 695.64$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 598$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…5816backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3824backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 478.79$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 27c | 465.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 26c | 465.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…31aebacked Yes | 26c | 410$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 27c | 404.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 396.22$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 74c | 395.14$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe043…b415backed Yes | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 32c | 330.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 313.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…756bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 72c | 276.38$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 265.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 72c | 238.43$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8b2ebacked No | 73c | 214.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 74c | 200.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 25c | 189$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes | 25c | 186.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…3684backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…e47fbacked Yes | 29c | 141.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428a…8889backed Yes | 26c | 129.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 28c | 96.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…6215backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8156backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…f5b2backed Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…1274backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 26c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce9…4cefbacked Yes | 26c | 79.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…6423backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…856bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…22f4backed Yes | 26c | 75.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked No | 74c | 74.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 74.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…6b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…4639backed Yes | 27c | 73.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb504…2f85backed Yes | 28c | 72.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…ed46backed Yes | 29c | 68.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…6258backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb487…34f8backed No | 75c | 66.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…aa33backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…d63dbacked Yes | 32c | 61.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 29c | 59.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…a2febacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…d940backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…5b7ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…dafbbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Yes | 27c | 54.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Yes | 30c | 53.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 47c | 51.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…2356backed Yes | 29c | 50.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 32c | 48.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…0f92backed Yes | 25c | 47.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…1659backed Yes | 25c | 43.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…f6d6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…48b0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…e684backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9df1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal to score first vs. France?this page
- France to score first vs. Senegal?Yes won
- France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.