Fifa International · resolved market
France to score first vs. Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf192706eb5ca650a831ddae039231f078034384247f77982d17970c3073d17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 70c | 7,608$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.53 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 31c | 5,566$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.92 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 41c | 4,965$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.98 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 4,181$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.24 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 70c | 4,128$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.37 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 35c | 2,047$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.16 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 53c | 1,370$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.9 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 30c | 1,317$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.07 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 20c | 1,231$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 31c | 1,151$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.79 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.03 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 994.43$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Yes | 58c | 868.36$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 31c | 861.12$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 30c | 677.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.68 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 69c | 539.61$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 21c | 398.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 38c | 321.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 39c | 296.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 35c | 291.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 70c | 280$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 57c | 212$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 24c | 194.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 26c | 191.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 181$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 181$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…eb39backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…d990backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 56c | 166$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 35c | 162.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 29c | 159.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031c…cb20backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa4…1c0abacked Yes | 70c | 141.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…36bbbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…04ccbacked Yes | 71c | 139.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…f7b1backed Yes | 69c | 138.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 69c | 137.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…7962backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes | 70c | 121.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…e32dbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92da…82fabacked Yes | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…9387backed Yes | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…5bedbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb2…cda6backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6336…b618backed Yes | 76c | 88.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…aa14backed Yes | 70c | 82.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cce…6681backed Yes | 62c | 81.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…00f9backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked No | 27c | 72.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…3c05backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb202…04adbacked Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 80 | 71.3%57 W · 23 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…ade2backed Yes | 70c | 69.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…2262backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…b368backed Yes | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 69c | 57.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 25c | 55.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4695…4d22backed Yes | 70c | 51.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 51.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed No | 31c | 50.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…855ebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 31c | 48.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 66c | 47.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 51c | 45.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 30c | 45.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 69c | 43.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…4805backed Yes | 70c | 42.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…1f83backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…d066backed Yes | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 70c | 38.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…e632backed Yes | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…8088backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…de1ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…977cbacked Yes | 61c | 33.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 68c | 32.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…2b86backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…f576backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…f80ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…d0a1backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…33f5backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…6968backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…e382backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…2a67backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to score first vs. Senegal?this page
- France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?No won
- Senegal to score first vs. France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.