Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc272fd6ea1d2f4a6ee5992123fc3eb8d489efa061f7770678f3880d10a4c5f7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2af…17d2backed Yes | 1c | 7,735$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…8174backed Yes | 18c | 4,210$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.74 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 4,140$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.71 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 2,455$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…63a0backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…1e06backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bee9backed Yes | 10c | 1,029$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…e005backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 5c | 682.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…9dd8backed Yes | 7c | 640.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3824backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…3af8backed Yes | 19c | 496.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…8c8ebacked Yes | 11c | 446.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…da82backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…c980backed No | 75c | 310.13$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…fa2abacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 5c | 229.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…cc54backed Yes | 18c | 199.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e87…b86bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 6c | 173.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 150.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…7801backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…b51abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…210ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…bb87backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 20c | 93.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 17c | 90.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…6c96backed Yes | 26c | 77.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95a…2ccfbacked Yes | 25c | 75.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…07cfbacked Yes | 18c | 67.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8b2ebacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 70c | 59.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 20c | 53.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004a…0ba1backed Yes | 19c | 52.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…1908backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 76c | 38.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 69c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 74c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?this page
- France to score first vs. Senegal?Yes won
- Senegal to score first vs. France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.