TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c65,532$33,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,850.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c51,872$25,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,566.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c20,349$11,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,667.284,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c8,713$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.053,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over48c7,348$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,851.221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under14c7,188$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.51,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over59c6,181$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.072,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over21c5,612$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,456.72,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over63c4,712$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.288617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c4,709$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over34c4,286$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.084,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over21c3,245$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.572,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c2,872$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over69c2,531$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.5420186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over60c2,018$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.4558642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over58c1,428$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8929558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under80c974.46$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.5764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under33c969.82$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.712,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under79c928.45$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.4818248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1913454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f9…5c3dbacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.198259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5c95backed Over65c737.4$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.094035%14 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c617.82$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.5787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over30c615.51$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.863545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under80c568$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.063,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over20c565.25$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.2518827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over69c555.55$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over57c523.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.17058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over58c522.41$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4111750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under79c500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39519251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over59c460$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8510273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c419.51$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under80c405$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.072,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under79c400$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3171,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over37c399.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.021,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Over65c385.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.489232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over52c380$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.45745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over65c355.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9711251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under80c348.5$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.82,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.984143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Over20c283.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.168527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c272.71$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.882,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over57c270.28$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2210252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…590cbacked Over58c241.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under80c241.35$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.081,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over69c217.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.39168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over20c205.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.426537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13421029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over57c189.84$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6316655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under52c188.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2447546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under52c187.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.441,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over38c187.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.26258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under80c180.88$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.981,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…cd1dbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.497841%32 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under53c164.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6542952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over29c163$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3347744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab53…f5b2backed Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.291553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0425…5d14backed Over38c158.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.432740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa1…2242backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.738046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under63c158.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Over65c153.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.668541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5212020%24 W · 96 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over30c149.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9953436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under32c143.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.292,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Under37c130.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.217635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Over20c130$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b4…146cbacked Over29c127.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.621020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb276…3b11backed Over20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002010%2 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe888…74fdbacked Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027128.4%77 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under25c108.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a28…c127backed Over58c104.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ee…bc1abacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413851.4%71 W · 67 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8049426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe630…907fbacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b08…c899backed Over58c98.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.541650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Over21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2413718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Over64c93.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6915546.5%72 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over20c86.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.210546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2139648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over39c85.94$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.429635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497a…cd8bbacked Over35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.711181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.33per pick48cpaid+75.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb76…66fabacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8fd…62f1backed Over64c80.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.046446.9%30 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0177…01d6backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.657832.1%25 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over18c77.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6210335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…13adbacked Over39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.922055%11 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5dde…926ebacked Over20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1817047.1%80 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf422…078fbacked Over20c70$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…398fbacked Over68c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+126.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed Over64c62.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5218056.1%101 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c6…fcc9backed Over65c61.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.212254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7d…f1b2backed Over33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under44c57.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.378234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.