Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45556a2e5adfab417823cb3ac6dcf859c07a8df74ff158f19c5a3df9260a73c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 12,271$9,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 10,882$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 20c | 7,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 4,272$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 3,486$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 19c | 2,713$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.28 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 19c | 999.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 19c | 895.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 20c | 813.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 20c | 748.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 19c | 518.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under | 20c | 458.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 443.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 79c | 357.75$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 19c | 297.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…db16backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 79c | 239.34$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 80c | 234.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…d677backed Under | 22c | 216$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…19f4backed Over | 80c | 204.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…6b54backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 20c | 179.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 162.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…71ddbacked Over | 80c | 146.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 80c | 145.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Over | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 137.47$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 79c | 125.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…b8cfbacked Over | 79c | 123.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 21c | 98.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…5943backed Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 79c | 90.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 79c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…1fc5backed Over | 80c | 66.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…554dbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…f64cbacked Over | 80c | 62.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 80c | 54.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…ade7backed Over | 80c | 49.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe55…2cbebacked Over | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…582abacked Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…0d43backed Over | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…03d1backed Over | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…a923backed Over | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…6e74backed Over | 80c | 27.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 55 | 80%44 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…2246backed Over | 80c | 25.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…285dbacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…567cbacked Over | 79c | 20.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…3b6cbacked Over | 80c | 18.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf598…73e8backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Sweden won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.