Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee119a12bd76bb9d059e4199903d7439eea0b090d04a36f3e4aff728fd2e506f

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Swedenof Sweden, Tunisia
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,113,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,315,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,113,848 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 573 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia	61c	122,868$75,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,372.6	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Sweden	27c	119,668$32,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,167.67	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Tunisia	73c	65,638$47,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,915.52	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Sweden	40c	57,977$23,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,976.35	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Tunisia	38c	54,263$20,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,414.42	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Sweden	27c	49,444$13,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,094.12	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Sweden	48c	41,360$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,360.22	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Sweden	27c	40,504$10,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,598.35	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tunisia	73c	40,000$29,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,199.96	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Sweden	26c	39,999$10,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,599.44	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Tunisia	61c	30,474$18,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,491.68	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Tunisia	74c	24,013$17,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,789.38	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Sweden	27c	21,875$5,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,968.75	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tunisia	60c	21,119$12,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,600.64	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Sweden	53c	21,103$11,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,909.01	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Sweden	27c	17,993$4,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,177.78	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tunisia	73c	16,822$12,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,237.12	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Tunisia	73c	7,191$5,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,249.09	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Sweden	45c	6,861$3,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,763.06	115	61.7%71 W · 44 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Sweden	61c	6,706$4,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,620.95	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Sweden	27c	6,666$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,866.18	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tunisia	73c	6,328$4,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,645.81	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Tunisia	64c	6,154$3,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,938.46	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39ec…6504backed Tunisia	75c	6,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.2wins	-0.35per pick	58cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tunisia	73c	5,322$3,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,887.57	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Tunisia	73c	4,800$3,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,504	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tunisia	21c	4,208$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.14	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Sweden	26c	4,135$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,059.62	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Tunisia	73c	4,043$2,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951.67	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tunisia	73c	4,000$2,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,919.96	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Tunisia	73c	3,600$2,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,627.99	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c0…901dbacked Sweden	27c	3,130$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,284.63	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sweden	30c	3,129$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,180.43	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tunisia	10c	3,098$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.41	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sweden	56c	3,070$1,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,363.31	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Sweden	54c	3,068$1,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,396.94	88	55.7%49 W · 39 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Sweden	27c	3,010$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,197.3	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Tunisia	73c	3,000$2,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,190	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Tunisia	73c	2,808$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,050.18	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Sweden	27c	2,778$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,027.78	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Sweden	26c	2,716$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,010.11	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sweden	27c	2,541$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,855.03	93	57%53 W · 40 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Tunisia	73c	2,400$1,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Tunisia	73c	2,400$1,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752	384	51.6%198 W · 186 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Sweden	51c	2,342$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,142.05	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sweden	44c	2,124$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,185.42	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Sweden	42c	2,034$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,183.91	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Sweden	27c	2,028$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480.2	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+28%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Sweden	41c	2,005$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,187.45	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Tunisia	73c	2,000$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Tunisia	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Tunisia	3c	1,994$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.39	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Tunisia	73c	1,951$1,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,423.97	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Sweden	27c	1,852$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,351.85	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Tunisia	32c	1,801$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.33	389	60.7%236 W · 153 L	+24.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Tunisia	73c	1,800$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Tunisia	73c	1,800$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed Tunisia	25c	1,789$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.2	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	13cpaid	+92.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Sweden	50c	1,726$863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Sweden	53c	1,634$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.13	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Tunisia	73c	1,600$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.99	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255e…5456backed Tunisia	63c	1,587$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+6.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Sweden	43c	1,567$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$892.57	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Tunisia	73c	1,560$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138.8	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Sweden	26c	1,538$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.46	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Tunisia	74c	1,478$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.85	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sweden	77c	1,476$1,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.76	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Tunisia	73c	1,460$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.77	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Tunisia	73c	1,440$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.2	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Sweden	77c	1,410$1,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.71	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Tunisia	15c	1,390$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.49	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Sweden	50c	1,340$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.93	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Tunisia	23c	1,338$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.75	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Sweden	75c	1,336$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.8	205	47.3%97 W · 108 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sweden	34c	1,320$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.27	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Sweden	67c	1,318$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.63	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Sweden	38c	1,316$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.79	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Sweden	47c	1,288$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.32	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Sweden	29c	1,285$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.61	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Sweden	77c	1,280$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.8	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Sweden	79c	1,279$1,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.67	67	32.8%22 W · 45 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Sweden	46c	1,256$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.26	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sweden	45c	1,243$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.41	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Tunisia	73c	1,234$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.13	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Tunisia	73c	1,200$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876	370	51.4%190 W · 180 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Sweden	27c	1,111$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.11	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Tunisia	74c	1,100$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Tunisia	74c	1,100$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Sweden	25c	1,060$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	173	9.2%16 W · 157 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Tunisia	73c	1,057$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.96	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Tunisia	73c	1,053$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.69	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-9.7wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tunisia	45c	1,043$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.32	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Sweden	26c	1,037$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.96	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Tunisia	73c	1,031$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.72	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Tunisia	38c	1,011$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.99	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Tunisia	73c	1,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Sweden	25c	1,000$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Sweden	25c	1,000$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Tunisia	73c	1,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tunisia	73c	1,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)this page
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Sweden won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Sweden won
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Sweden won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event