TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$948,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,131,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $948,250 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 760 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe549…2d54backed Under56c165,699$92,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,791.2415552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over44c139,035$60,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,050.0842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c78,026$41,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,722.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over43c69,999$30,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,899.657949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3693…d79ebacked Over44c68,745$30,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,740.921926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c37,940$17,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,082.1177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under40c33,737$13,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,558.692,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under57c24,000$13,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,6809839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c22,426$12,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,742.373,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Over69c21,200$14,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,539.996334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c17,328$9,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,382.11,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c15,564$8,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,914.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over43c13,801$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,800.6813544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over45c13,408$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,407.6336247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over58c12,922$7,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,439.441,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over50c11,325$5,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,615.9910146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over44c10,652$4,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,964.922,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7006149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7004456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.977653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b5c…4960backed Over44c10,000$4,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,612.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under56c9,600$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,37636250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…f217backed Over44c8,790$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,922.511070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over43c8,759$3,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,992.5520044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over43c6,511$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,711.221849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Under52c6,099$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2008835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under57c5,600$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,19211448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae3…a161backed Under36c5,556$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Under36c5,530$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Under36c5,524$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.521723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c5,228$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under34c4,983$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.9225942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under56c4,800$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedef…03b6backed Under41c4,618$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over66c4,567$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.5621442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over44c4,542$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.2589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Under57c4,287$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.686939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c4,200$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.7726445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3758…e05ebacked Under31c3,879$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c3,659$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.122,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Under36c3,626$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.343650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under56c3,600$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under57c3,237$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.611,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c3,135$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.721,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c2,759$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5921314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Under57c2,700$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5391650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c2,518$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.071,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Under56c2,468$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.262050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under56c2,400$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34439050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under56c2,400$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34438451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under60c2,395$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.1213259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7326644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.733330.3%10 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+79.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7310458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Over44c2,272$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.324447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over43c2,222$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.514348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under57c2,200$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2542236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Over41c2,173$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.176243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9911657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9822643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.974746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Over43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.933941%16 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over70c1,985$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.5730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under56c1,920$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.235451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,810$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.1674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00835352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5700…5a58backed Under57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd77…8cccbacked Under57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under56c1,742$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.191,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f6…ee3ebacked Under20c1,733$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.652045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Under58c1,733$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under56c1,560$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.639951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under22c1,556$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under57c1,553$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.2784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under57c1,541$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.3748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over39c1,538$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.4611851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Under57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8559839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8407859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Under56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.993528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.997055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under37c1,476$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.217640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under56c1,440$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.440848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under39c1,435$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.336352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over76c1,347$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under56c1,338$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.281,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under45c1,319$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c1,301$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.412,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over59c1,300$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.9919850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under41c1,231$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8734845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa641…0866backed Under57c1,228$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under19c1,223$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5646445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under56c1,221$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.038250%41 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked Under41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67217030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over45c1,200$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6647153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.