Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef34560d2968f77815998b46368f31469469a4aa01c403f47da65f8ba52bc03

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	22c	14,980$3,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,645.59	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Under	67c	3,007$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	16c	2,068$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,746.51	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-3.1wins	-0.39per pick	64cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over	21c	1,429$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.57	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	12c	1,364$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,205.19	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Under	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+10.2wins	+0.18per pick	29cpaid	+46%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under	72c	957.01$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.37	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-8.7wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	11c	909.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.06	356	58.7%209 W · 147 L	+35.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+28%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	10c	865.3$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.32	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	9c	833.02$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.82	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	26c	749.62$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.22	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under	21c	710$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.87	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	9c	697.03$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.18	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	12c	693.12$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.17	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	70c	548.82$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.18	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	23c	546$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.79	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	9c	544.44$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.44	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	35c	526.04$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.87	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	11c	464.66$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.84	258	65.9%170 W · 88 L	+40.1wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	20c	456.98$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.38	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	11c	450$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.83	198	38.4%76 W · 122 L	-18.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over	22c	450$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.68	190	39.5%75 W · 115 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over	39c	348.27$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.08	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xaf0e…6a32backed Over	9c	333.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.33	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+114.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	27c	313.76$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.68	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1cd…896abacked Over	32c	298.54$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.14	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Over	36c	277.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.78	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over	13c	254.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.84	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	35c	229.83$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.39	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	9c	210$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.1	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	31c	207$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.6	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	9c	190$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.9	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under	70c	170.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	47c	168$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.96	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Under	65c	167.92$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.15	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	35c	140.75$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.69	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf180…3b6cbacked Over	18c	130.33$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.94	94	27.7%26 W · 68 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4bd…c685backed Over	10c	124.97$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.47	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	24cpaid	+108.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over	23c	124$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.48	132	47%62 W · 70 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over	13c	109.01$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.84	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over	23c	100$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over	20c	100$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Under	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	103	59.2%61 W · 42 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ec…1481backed Over	33c	90.91$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.91	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x704b…08b7backed Under	78c	83.22$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.95	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over	22c	83.18$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.88	145	26.2%38 W · 107 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde70…615fbacked Over	35c	83.14$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.14	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	30c	81.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	17c	80$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.4	414	44.9%186 W · 228 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under	73c	72.42$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	165	56.4%93 W · 72 L	-17.5wins	-0.11per pick	67cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	63c	60$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	35c	57.16$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.17	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Over	34c	52.55$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.92	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed Under	66c	45.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	78c	44.87$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	323	56%181 W · 142 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Over	34c	40.4$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.54	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+4.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over	40c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	329	59.6%196 W · 133 L	+21.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over	51c	38.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.76	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Over	37c	27.03$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.03	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under	80c	23.97$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	91	74.7%68 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	76cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Under	63c	19.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	214	39.7%85 W · 129 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under	60c	19.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	236	45.3%107 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Sweden won
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Sweden won
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Sweden won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event