TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c32,681$14,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,318.74,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c22,222$13,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,837.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c14,228$6,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,634.682,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c9,416$5,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,114.022,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under54c9,000$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,86029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over46c7,802$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,213.252,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over46c6,666$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.6432029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c5,353$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under54c4,697$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.211,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under54c3,661$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9777337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over51c3,069$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.844,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over68c2,195$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.2330465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6617751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over45c1,960$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.7610546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over45c1,529$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.9117650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c1,506$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.232,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under37c1,318$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.082,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over46c1,061$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7318548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over47c1,058$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.3936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.994027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under54c999.94$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c916.43$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.872,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under53c799.7$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.8446546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over47c746.59$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.5918742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over46c671.74$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.7414235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under52c577.65$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.711,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over79c555.55$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under52c482.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over48c471.53$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c461.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.472,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Over45c445.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.212237.7%46 W · 76 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over45c393.38$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.361,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under18c360.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.542,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over46c302.35$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.279055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under55c291.06$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.091,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c283.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.293,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under54c275.32$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.991,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f4…19f4backed Over74c270.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.351291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.27per pick64cpaid+48.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over70c234$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.462,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0655…ea73backed Over44c229.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.792544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c224.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.561,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…01f8backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.226650%33 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.816655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x091e…aec7backed Over46c218.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.242326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3919746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over46c210.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.694940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over47c204.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1670948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75fa…f90ebacked Under33c193.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.732245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under18c191.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.172,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over46c184.28$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.518842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Over46c162.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.533036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed Over74c143.24$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.243542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over46c141.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.37850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over45c132.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.287122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe46…cc5cbacked Over46c121.13$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.79654.2%52 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.751045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ef…7761backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.749426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.79651%49 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.710734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…4ae7backed Over47c105.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.621330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under32c105.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.571,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over46c102$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0547744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under53c100.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3826537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under44c96.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7147546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over75c89.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.729174.7%68 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8918236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ef…8580backed Over71c87.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.324535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c86.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1132855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under54c85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.941344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under30c84.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under13c81.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over46c76.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7441339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Over47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.478331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8815…5295backed Over46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.85147.1%24 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over48c67.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6616052.5%84 W · 76 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under38c67.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.021,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5739648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b17…9394backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.676060%36 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Over75c66.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.776258.1%36 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4b…a205backed Over47c62.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23f…6c8abacked Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334231%13 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8458642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a8…a196backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.354652.2%24 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d53…200ebacked Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.357237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca46…43e5backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7b…2564backed Over46c53.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7811245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under26c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.392,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over70c50.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1311170.3%78 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2719958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.548147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5110335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under53c46.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.572,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over45c44.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9218036.1%65 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7db…d69cbacked Over45c44.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.252152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.