Fifa International · resolved market
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd59e9b060b6240303d8b86d46acce2ebba82500faccb54c79cc199e5dc5e489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 9c | 19,486$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.74 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 10c | 15,227$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.04 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 8c | 7,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Under | 9c | 4,994$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.46 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 9c | 2,663$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 4c | 2,401$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Under | 10c | 2,120$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…8089backed Under | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 9c | 1,473$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 9c | 1,464$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…90ebbacked Under | 9c | 1,371$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 9c | 999.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 10c | 961.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…8d15backed Under | 9c | 959.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…78e5backed Under | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 10c | 903$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…3a92backed Under | 9c | 834.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under | 8c | 788.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 9c | 411.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Under | 9c | 377.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…89c9backed Under | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Under | 10c | 288.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Under | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 251.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…12c6backed Under | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 8c | 217$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…1fd9backed Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 15.6%20 W · 108 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Under | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 9c | 145.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 9c | 137.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 8c | 135$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 9c | 123.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Under | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 10c | 101.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…cceebacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ef…e9d8backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…9c8cbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Sweden won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 0.5Over won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.