TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,450 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c2,500$1,268 inWon+$1,231.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c1,915$939 inLost-$938.9286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c1,300$650 inLost-$650.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c262.12$131 inLost-$131.063,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over50c200$100 inWon+$1005745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d4b…2c7bbacked Over50c181$91 inWon+$90.52934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over50c176$88 inWon+$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c157.05$79 inLost-$78.5332855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under49c131.28$65 inLost-$64.7541344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Over50c100$50 inWon+$5010634%36 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd492…7469backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon+$48.046259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Over50c90$45 inWon+$456443.8%28 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Over50c80$40 inWon+$405232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e8…ea18backed Over49c71.43$35 inWon+$36.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0425…5d14backed Over51c62.22$32 inWon+$30.492740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under49c51.38$25 inLost-$25.1826537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over50c40.45$20 inWon+$20.2336329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Over50c40$20 inWon+$209250%46 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c31$15 inWon+$15.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5080…d89abacked Over50c20$10 inWon+$103450%17 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe499…f953backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$104560%27 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.