Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe410a35cc26e37b6a9c457582121a71f10afdf82723a86d6c945b8bd7542eaf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 48c | 15,411$7,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,982.95 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…12c3backed Yes | 48c | 11,847$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 11,048$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.38 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 9,891$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…db89backed Yes | 47c | 9,679$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 52c | 9,655$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.34 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 51c | 9,552$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.73 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc899…e1fdbacked No | 52c | 7,432$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 7,033$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.18 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 53c | 7,016$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.46 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 6,256$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.12 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Yes | 46c | 3,999$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.93 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 49c | 3,730$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.91 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 3,681$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.42 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 51c | 3,629$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.7 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 48c | 3,327$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.51 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Yes | 49c | 3,072$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 2,975$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.82 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 53c | 2,878$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.26 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 52c | 2,874$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.1 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 50c | 2,605$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,132$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.64 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 48c | 2,097$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.43 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 2,078$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.25 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 12c | 2,070$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5c67backed Yes | 47c | 2,043$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 47c | 1,400$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.81 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 51c | 1,375$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.22 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,322$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.58 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 51c | 1,118$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.95 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.79 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…ed3dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…577bbacked Yes | 47c | 964.27$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 47c | 955.97$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.57 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 49c | 903.78$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.93 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 46c | 899.94$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.97 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Yes | 47c | 851.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.95 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 848.94$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.49 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a2…e0b6backed No | 53c | 822.21$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 48c | 777.98$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.91 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 51c | 727.43$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.99 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 46c | 637.76$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.39 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 48c | 591.88$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.07 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 50c | 571.34$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 48c | 541.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…4f86backed No | 52c | 530$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…7aaebacked Yes | 47c | 508.72$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.62 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 459.64$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 47c | 455.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e9…d01abacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…4f06backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 49c | 379.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 49c | 378$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 48c | 306.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.74 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Yes | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3111backed No | 14c | 272.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed No | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…af49backed Yes | 49c | 238.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…da31backed Yes | 48c | 237.06$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Yes | 47c | 233.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…d11ebacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8a…0c39backed Yes | 46c | 217.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…b0ecbacked Yes | 47c | 214.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0f…8f06backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…cfb7backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…a894backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 49c | 203.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…edb5backed Yes | 46c | 193.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…8588backed Yes | 46c | 189.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed No | 12c | 185.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 234 | 43.6%102 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 6c | 184.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…013bbacked No | 53c | 181.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 51c | 179.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yes | 46c | 146.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 142$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…4bd4backed Yes | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 47c | 138.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…92a5backed Yes | 49c | 129.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 128.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…82e5backed Yes | 47c | 127.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Yes | 48c | 126.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico leading at halftime?this page
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime?No won
- South Africa leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.