TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Ducksof Beijing Ducks, Guangdong Southern Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0081…81eabacked Guangdong Southern Tigers0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Guangdong Southern Tigers34c7,097$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.0316828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers3c5,806$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.036116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Beijing Ducks75c4,688$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.631283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Beijing Ducks66c4,672$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.765360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Ducks79c4,623$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.913046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Guangdong Southern Tigers25c4,302$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.9136939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Guangdong Southern Tigers23c4,274$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.882850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Beijing Ducks61c3,195$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.252748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Beijing Ducks72c2,330$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers26c2,213$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.733745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Guangdong Southern Tigers14c2,175$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003735.1%13 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Guangdong Southern Tigers10c2,150$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.853823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Guangdong Southern Tigers28c1,946$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Beijing Ducks53c1,862$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.551656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers25c1,774$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.4624430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers29c1,705$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Beijing Ducks71c1,697$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.161662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers27c1,509$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.894344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089f…fe64backed Beijing Ducks60c1,489$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Beijing Ducks71c1,384$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.155844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers40c1,187$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.935248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers33c1,129$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.322030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e1…0a19backed Guangdong Southern Tigers27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Beijing Ducks53c1,075$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.452842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Guangdong Southern Tigers24c1,043$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.041118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Guangdong Southern Tigers21c1,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.658936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Guangdong Southern Tigers28c999.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed Beijing Ducks63c931.13$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.941560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Guangdong Southern Tigers38c927.99$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.446338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Guangdong Southern Tigers38c910$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.86844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers36c889.57$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.241030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers29c878.36$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.042157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Guangdong Southern Tigers24c851.11$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c756.5$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.746747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Guangdong Southern Tigers31c752.68$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0843543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Beijing Ducks71c721.45$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Ducks71c714.92$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6154251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Guangdong Southern Tigers27c658.24$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.31931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Beijing Ducks59c626.55$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.891637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers31c607.64$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.861643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked Beijing Ducks69c543.96$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers23c524.11$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5735234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…d516backed Guangdong Southern Tigers30c524.09$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Beijing Ducks75c499.98$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+124.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Beijing Ducks54c494.97$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers35c488.96$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Guangdong Southern Tigers18c483.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3521535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Guangdong Southern Tigers3c468.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Guangdong Southern Tigers30c465.1$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5316235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4079…7126backed Guangdong Southern Tigers21c440$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid+42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Beijing Ducks70c431.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.623060%18 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…00bcbacked Beijing Ducks72c414.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7d0…f1f8backed Guangdong Southern Tigers29c401.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Beijing Ducks67c390.37$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Beijing Ducks71c379.35$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.723342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb978…1fa3backed Guangdong Southern Tigers28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Beijing Ducks59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.982356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fdf…a9efbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers29c337.68$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c327.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers34c304.37$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.966744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c2…c627backed Guangdong Southern Tigers29c302.77$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Beijing Ducks69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Beijing Ducks70c281.78$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.783161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc078…6893backed Beijing Ducks72c277.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Beijing Ducks59c271.11$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.161258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Beijing Ducks77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.743100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec60…8ad8backed Guangdong Southern Tigers16c249.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Beijing Ducks79c249.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d01…8558backed Guangdong Southern Tigers26c245.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Guangdong Southern Tigers41c241.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.410634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x659f…c105backed Guangdong Southern Tigers24c233.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.011118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers25c201.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Beijing Ducks65c200.12$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0413220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Beijing Ducks70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Guangdong Southern Tigers52c199.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Guangdong Southern Tigers35c196.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4913545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2f…bda7backed Beijing Ducks63c187.85$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Beijing Ducks67c187.46$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Guangdong Southern Tigers29c184.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+61.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b3…8a82backed Guangdong Southern Tigers28c173.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bba…fe34backed Guangdong Southern Tigers31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x250d…ed8bbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers31c145.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Beijing Ducks70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Beijing Ducks71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Beijing Ducks73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.998760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Beijing Ducks68c136.13$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.567462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x54ea…c82abacked Beijing Ducks76c132$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers40c131.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4131651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Beijing Ducks74c130.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f2…f46dbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers29c129.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Beijing Ducks77c129.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Beijing Ducks50c129.55$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Guangdong Southern Tigers28c128.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2321444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Beijing Ducks78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers27c127.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.79946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e28…79bebacked Guangdong Southern Tigers9c126.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bf…805cbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers20c122.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.