Euroleague · resolved market
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Royal Fighters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x167abfb940c1465e90584521bf199ef4d92f92ea20e4374b97540306539f7d9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Shanghai Sharks, Beijing Royal Fighters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,686 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 15,292$12,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.86 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 20c | 6,243$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.19 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 21c | 4,739$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.78 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 18c | 1,417$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 19c | 1,239$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.27 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 19c | 1,124$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 1c | 1,036$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Shanghai Sharks | 66c | 761.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 26c | 574.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 23c | 371.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 5c | 274.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 8c | 248.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Shanghai Sharks | 73c | 204.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 6c | 203.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 10c | 201.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 18c | 189.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 10c | 170.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 22c | 167.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 21c | 160.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 21c | 156.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 21c | 143.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 19c | 136$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 24c | 132.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 23c | 132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 22c | 130.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 15c | 117.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 25c | 101.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 17c | 100.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 22c | 100.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…3b0bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 20c | 98.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8a…20b8backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 18c | 85.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2650…44f7backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 18c | 77.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 20c | 67.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 15c | 67.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe054…14d1backed Shanghai Sharks | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.