TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb875…68a8backed No71c7,200$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0863759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed No79c4,127$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af0…1595backed Yes31c3,111$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54aa…9557backed Yes31c2,948$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x818c…abd5backed Yes31c2,435$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cda…dcf2backed Yes31c2,424$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x103f…11fbbacked Yes31c2,206$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4798…9ffdbacked Yes31c2,148$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d9c…8098backed Yes31c2,064$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes31c2,050$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1449…69e1backed Yes31c1,985$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7010…5520backed Yes31c1,934$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1917…5cd3backed Yes31c1,906$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc4…a082backed No69c1,805$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63de…6a01backed Yes31c1,793$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8634…7106backed No69c1,699$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb291…6e13backed Yes31c1,689$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbb…13ecbacked No69c1,684$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.04650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c1,604$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.072,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…43e8backed No69c1,591$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…bab8backed Yes31c1,590$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes29c1,494$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.3245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b62…0817backed Yes31c1,440$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876b…99e8backed Yes31c1,425$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…fea6backed No69c1,420$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce3…9b49backed No69c1,375$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42a4…3a63backed Yes31c1,373$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafde…1594backed No69c1,349$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d59…89dcbacked Yes31c1,289$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…2166backed Yes31c1,256$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b95…4b0dbacked No69c1,244$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aba…8262backed No69c1,168$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe916…892dbacked No69c1,139$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578a…ef23backed No69c1,118$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0893…8837backed Yes31c1,115$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1c…f383backed No69c1,094$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c1,084$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.041,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c1,082$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.083447.1%16 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+169.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3db9…a4b9backed No69c1,047$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9134…58cabacked No69c1,028$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+151%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bff…9bdbbacked Yes31c998$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No78c996.93$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.025369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfddc…fef5backed No69c971$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f7…24d0backed No69c952$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c0…1634backed Yes31c926$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32a2…721bbacked No69c915$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f23…f3fbbacked No69c913$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaece…55a7backed Yes31c878$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e38…d21ebacked No69c853$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b1…ac6cbacked No69c830$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x452a…241fbacked Yes31c826$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36b…7f41backed No69c792$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+109%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes32c790$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.824939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes21c789.14$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f45…d8c8backed No69c783$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No69c783$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.733366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f36…7928backed Yes31c780$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1afb…bc76backed No69c760$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf670…bf42backed No69c759$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.29366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab2…03a6backed No69c750$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c733.08$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb12…4e26backed Yes31c728$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No70c727.72$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.313647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…a60fbacked Yes31c673$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.63540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes30c655.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-51.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa305…4901backed Yes31c645$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7b…a49abacked No69c629$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb544…c186backed Yes31c628$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…9f5abacked Yes31c614$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c5…ae6cbacked No69c611$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf3…bfd7backed No69c602$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.62450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51cc…be25backed Yes31c597$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x715e…d4d6backed No69c594$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3205…67b9backed No69c593$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a9…7f13backed No69c590$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ee…24c6backed No69c581.96$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb67…2e7cbacked Yes31c580$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes30c570$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8951…748ebacked No69c529$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe737…deabbacked No69c525$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc189…f715backed Yes31c519$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…692bbacked Yes31c505$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes15c503.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52cf…b13abacked Yes31c494$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…b535backed No69c491$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+151%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ba…5681backed Yes31c485$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecf…ecd3backed No69c473$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No69c470$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.78659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3693…9fecbacked No69c466$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd7b…7ad0backed No69c465$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3a…994abacked No69c455$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.05580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6f…d254backed Yes31c454$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…48ddbacked No69c447$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+109%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25fb…e92abacked No69c430$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8f…6a4fbacked No69c422$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No69c421$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5113040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.