Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc968acfac37e7b941aeff75af4cba198f02de90b6dff930e1bf5f3a8a2ff1cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 5,191$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 3,168$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.8 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,945$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.51 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 40c | 1,810$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.1 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 57c | 1,773$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.58 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 1,578$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.72 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,480$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.8 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 1,196$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.52 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 69c | 1,103$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.07 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,060$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.2 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…ed0dbacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 71c | 974.34$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.06 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 3c | 699.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 602.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.22 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 67c | 457.58$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.58 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 47c | 423.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 44c | 370.45$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 365.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…47a4backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 256.41$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 50c | 200.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…ef86backed Yes | 17c | 196.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 67c | 175.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 34c | 170.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 34c | 150.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 33c | 149.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 80c | 147.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 60c | 138.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Yes | 33c | 124$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 33c | 90.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 79.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 68c | 67.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 44c | 65.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 63.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 43c | 62.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 66c | 55.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 65c | 50.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…40bfbacked Yes | 36c | 46.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 27c | 40.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 38c | 39.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed No | 67c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…2f95backed Yes | 43c | 35.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 45c | 33.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 47c | 33.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…565dbacked No | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 74c | 26.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 67c | 25.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Yes | 69c | 25.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?this page
- Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.