NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802dffa1e17b918ba9f7e7276f0a09f92a266c9c07c64ea06dde0c9491e8e0f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $775,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $775,141 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Thunder | 53c | 130,564$68,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,814.11 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Thunder | 50c | 129,551$64,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,971.75 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 47c | 129,505$60,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,867.45 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 50c | 109,242$54,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,753.79 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Nets | 49c | 99,812$48,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,902.09 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Nets | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,699.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Nets | 48c | 60,012$28,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,613.6 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 52c | 45,198$23,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,694.88 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Nets | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 51c | 35,104$17,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,902.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nets | 48c | 30,316$14,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,551.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 48c | 21,491$10,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,247.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 52c | 20,900$10,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Nets | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 55c | 14,050$7,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.7 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Thunder | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeac…94ebbacked Thunder | 51c | 9,083$4,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.93 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Nets | 51c | 8,732$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.32 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 53c | 7,110$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.98 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 55c | 6,783$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.37 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 6,020$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Nets | 51c | 5,835$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.04 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Nets | 51c | 5,822$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.22 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Thunder | 52c | 5,660$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.8 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Nets | 51c | 5,387$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.2 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Thunder | 50c | 5,263$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.46 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 51c | 5,183$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.34 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239e…1286backed Nets | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Nets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Thunder | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 52c | 3,750$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.48 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nets | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Nets | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…175bbacked Thunder | 54c | 2,511$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nets | 50c | 2,502$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.78 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d00…6fe7backed Thunder | 54c | 2,416$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727f…3220backed Thunder | 54c | 2,414$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nets | 4c | 2,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8a…bab4backed Nets | 46c | 2,159$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c8…2ea3backed Nets | 46c | 2,121$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Thunder | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675e…3c75backed Thunder | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Nets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Nets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…021ebacked Thunder | 54c | 1,933$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…2a5ebacked Nets | 46c | 1,844$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…e8d5backed Nets | 46c | 1,826$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Nets | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed9…bd58backed Thunder | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…b617backed Thunder | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,428$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.66 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Thunder | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.06 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Nets | 45c | 1,387$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.05 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 49c | 1,361$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.36 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a95…1687backed Nets | 46c | 1,341$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 49c | 1,262$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Thunder | 55c | 1,250$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,238$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.8 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Thunder | 51c | 1,039$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.19 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 46c | 1,032$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Thunder | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Thunder | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 50c | 978.35$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.8 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Nets | 50c | 967.06$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.53 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Thunder | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nets | 49c | 938$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.62 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Thunder | 53c | 902.04$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.96 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Thunder | 50c | 885$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Nets | 51c | 884.31$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 7c | 823.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 51c | 671.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.27 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Nets | 51c | 617.1$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.72 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Thunder | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Nets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Nets | 48c | 535.37$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Thunder | 54c | 483.61$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.46 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Thunder | 51c | 447$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.03 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Thunder | 52c | 443.52$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Thunder | 51c | 442$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.58 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Thunder | 53c | 425.72$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Thunder | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Thunder | 53c | 376.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Nets | 49c | 320.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Thunder | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Nets | 50c | 319.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nets | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…4ba0backed Nets | 50c | 275.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Nets | 51c | 275.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Thunder | 53c | 270$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…c09abacked Nets | 50c | 258.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Nets | 48c | 256.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Thunder | 51c | 253$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Thunder | 51c | 253$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Thunder | 50c | 245.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-23.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-25.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-31.5)Nets won
- Spread: Thunder (-35.5)Nets won
- Spread: Thunder (-37.5)Nets won
- Thunder vs. NetsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 192.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 200.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 203.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 208.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.