NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90750228cce07e16286515cd9ab2b3ab7f915f16074f350c993874a2e9557a72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,062,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,062,071 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 638,869$321,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321,057.9 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 187,955$93,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,581.27 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 137,479$68,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,739.53 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 49c | 98,039$48,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,999.89 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 50c | 83,154$41,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,576.79 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 49c | 76,641$37,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,297.37 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Over | 51c | 75,073$38,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,604.57 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 52c | 30,802$16,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,017.17 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 28,258$14,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,005.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 23,251$11,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,192.62 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Under | 48c | 15,520$7,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,070.4 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…a377backed Under | 50c | 14,634$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,317.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 12,498$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Under | 48c | 9,750$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 8,831$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over | 47c | 7,660$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 49c | 6,136$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.86 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Over | 49c | 6,057$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 53c | 5,739$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.88 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…743dbacked Under | 51c | 5,700$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…f531backed Over | 49c | 5,700$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 5,645$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 50c | 5,620$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Over | 47c | 5,514$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.58 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,457$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.65 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 5,343$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.86 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 51c | 4,710$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.1 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 4,527$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.87 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 4,379$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 4,322$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 4,160$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.24 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 4,001$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.62 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 3,961$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 51c | 3,600$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 49c | 3,200$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 3,113$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 3,058$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.16 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 60c | 3,038$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.7 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,912$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 51c | 2,889$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.06 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 9c | 2,716$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 2,659$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Under | 48c | 2,238$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.76 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,776$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.29 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,670$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.13 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 7c | 1,666$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 50c | 1,167$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.32 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 55c | 1,115$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.75 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Under | 50c | 1,098$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 51c | 1,018$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.82 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Under | 50c | 941$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 924.53$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.53 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 50c | 906.49$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.25 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 50c | 889.2$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 3c | 812$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Over | 47c | 764.72$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.42 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 724$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 676.63$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 49c | 597$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 51c | 594.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 49c | 575.98$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.54 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 563$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 51c | 561.76$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 50c | 545.44$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.53 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 518.65$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.89 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…2eb3backed Over | 51c | 501.35$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 460.12$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 50c | 414.26$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 49c | 396$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 50c | 359$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.61 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 53c | 317.42$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 5c | 316.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…0f15backed Over | 48c | 308.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-23.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-25.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-31.5)Nets won
- Spread: Thunder (-35.5)Nets won
- Spread: Thunder (-37.5)Nets won
- Thunder vs. NetsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 192.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 200.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 203.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 208.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.