NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bba1906cb5cc459377de64a93b8fbb460a53e2a02a46ae543bfe04c6302f169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,099 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 25,000$12,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,986.31 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 46c | 13,392$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,219.44 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 4,324$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.57 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 3,599$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.39 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 3,574$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 3,434$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 2,656$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 52c | 2,574$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.44 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 1,862$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.77 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,587$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.55 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Over | 49c | 1,411$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.39 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 1,250$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.49 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,105$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 891.63$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.05 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 47c | 625$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 601$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 467$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 433.35$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Over | 51c | 399.94$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 358.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 51c | 312.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 305.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 276.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…0022backed Under | 49c | 261.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 51c | 259.85$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 50c | 206.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…39cdbacked Over | 49c | 161$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 73c | 153$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed Under | 48c | 153$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…8caabacked Over | 49c | 148$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 45c | 138.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 50c | 119.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 56c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Under | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…7cefbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 50c | 92.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 51c | 84.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 50c | 79.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 48c | 75.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 47c | 75.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77c…d8a2backed Under | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…cb5dbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Over | 46c | 54.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 52c | 53.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 33c | 52.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…cf66backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 49.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…99fabacked Over | 55c | 48.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 47.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Under | 74c | 45.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 43.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 47c | 40.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…250dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 38.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…68a5backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 34.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…1702backed Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…4a44backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Under | 49c | 27.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…3362backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 23.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 48c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…1f94backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…006fbacked Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Over | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-23.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-25.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-31.5)Nets won
- Spread: Thunder (-35.5)Nets won
- Spread: Thunder (-37.5)Nets won
- Thunder vs. NetsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 192.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 200.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 203.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 208.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.