TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9083…99fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.67
Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.45
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$115.53
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.45
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.02
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.37
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.41
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.79
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$68.28
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.54
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+97%+$863.43
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,353.6
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.15
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.64
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.33
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$56.71
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$102.2
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Play-Inbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.2
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Play-Inbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.09
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.51
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group Abacked Arcade Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$30.18
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT (BO5) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.35
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,292.34
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Counter-Strike: magic vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+128.1%+$25.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+46.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$47.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.