Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6893f12238737d85b446921aaab11b92f0d4321e9e8476a89479c660134deeb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 6c | 5,854$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.1 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,267$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 69c | 3,270$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.37 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 18c | 3,248$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.17 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,929$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,852$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 2,673$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…e1b6backed Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 80c | 2,204$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.16 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,178$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,514$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 8c | 1,504$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…72d5backed No | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 49c | 1,363$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.43 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…3a2dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,325$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,264$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 9c | 1,151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…b1efbacked No | 18c | 1,133$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 13cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 929.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed No | 17c | 800$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 786.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…f51ebacked Yes | 1c | 775.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Yes | 2c | 728.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…c5e3backed No | 16c | 709.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 25c | 671.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…c3dabacked No | 14c | 659.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.59 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…878abacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 2c | 616.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a8…7d0cbacked Yes | 42c | 601.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcc…a2fabacked Yes | 77c | 537.51$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 21c | 517.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…a0c7backed Yes | 6c | 511.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.74 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe09d…1e72backed No | 45c | 446.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 6c | 423.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 26c | 412.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…2a0dbacked No | 44c | 402.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4067backed Yes | 53c | 400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed Yes | 6c | 399.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a925backed Yes | 15c | 393.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 21cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 361.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 63c | 359.53$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 52c | 346.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.63 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 29c | 332.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 5c | 299.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…b569backed No | 79c | 299.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 5c | 299.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 7c | 298.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…ee5fbacked Yes | 7c | 292.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 79c | 275.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 35c | 273.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…fc1ebacked No | 14c | 272.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +233%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…0bc0backed No | 6c | 257.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.24 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed No | 70c | 255.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 21c | 255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x790f…2b81backed No | 12c | 250.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed Yes | 10c | 248.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 228.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…aa14backed Yes | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed No | 47c | 197$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…016abacked Yes | 26c | 189.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…fdecbacked No | 72c | 186.06$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…17b5backed No | 6c | 180.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…99fabacked No | 75c | 174.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 54c | 165.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…6dc9backed Yes | 64c | 163$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…c4a2backed No | 12c | 149.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…3727backed Yes | 16c | 147.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…ef8bbacked No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1f8bbacked No | 15c | 135.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 36c | 124.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…6c5cbacked Yes | 21c | 109.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb5…4999backed No | 14c | 106.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked Yes | 68c | 105.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…0a90backed Yes | 11c | 104.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…7f90backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7d80backed No | 70c | 99.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…bc4bbacked Yes | 15c | 98.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…7405backed Yes | 28c | 97.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 21c | 93.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 49c | 84.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…3691backed No | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32a…36d4backed Yes | 69c | 72.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x707a…e8a3backed Yes | 73c | 70.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 21c | 68.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…6132backed Yes | 40c | 63.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…4caabacked No | 44c | 56.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…4c4ebacked No | 46c | 54.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…462ebacked No | 56c | 50.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…7116backed No | 51c | 49.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…60b6backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…a038backed No | 78c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 73c | 34.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 84 | 82.1%69 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…1da9backed No | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…af59backed No | 79c | 25.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…001cbacked Yes | 64c | 17.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.