CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc11750641bedc53187c4d17fdc54c009d982571e5737a6700c156ed2716f679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arcade Esportsof Mindfreak, Arcade Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,004 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Arcade Esports | 28c | 1,700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Mindfreak | 79c | 1,447$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Mindfreak | 72c | 1,343$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.56 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Arcade Esports | 59c | 1,020$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.27 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Mindfreak | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Mindfreak | 43c | 950.67$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.74 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…258abacked Arcade Esports | 66c | 455.88$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Mindfreak | 71c | 363.64$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Mindfreak | 69c | 294.62$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Mindfreak | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Mindfreak | 56c | 284.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Mindfreak | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Arcade Esports | 40c | 250.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Arcade Esports | 37c | 204.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Arcade Esports | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Arcade Esports | 61c | 178.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Arcade Esports | 69c | 172.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Mindfreak | 56c | 172.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Arcade Esports | 24c | 168.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Arcade Esports | 22c | 147.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…30a1backed Arcade Esports | 68c | 146.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…172abacked Arcade Esports | 80c | 141.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…9c0ebacked Mindfreak | 75c | 141.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Arcade Esports | 21c | 139.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Mindfreak | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Mindfreak | 56c | 137.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…ac7ebacked Arcade Esports | 45c | 135.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Mindfreak | 76c | 132.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8d3dbacked Arcade Esports | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…99fabacked Arcade Esports | 75c | 122.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Arcade Esports | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…68fabacked Arcade Esports | 50c | 114.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Mindfreak | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Mindfreak | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Mindfreak | 72c | 98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Arcade Esports | 56c | 97.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Arcade Esports | 40c | 96.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Arcade Esports | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Arcade Esports | 25c | 72.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mindfreak | 33c | 71.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…ab0cbacked Arcade Esports | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Arcade Esports | 32c | 71.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…91bfbacked Mindfreak | 72c | 62.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…5031backed Mindfreak | 79c | 57.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Mindfreak | 69c | 55.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Mindfreak | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Arcade Esports | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Mindfreak | 50c | 48.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Arcade Esports | 59c | 47.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed Arcade Esports | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mindfreak | 75c | 43.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Arcade Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Mindfreak | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked Arcade Esports | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…f0a0backed Arcade Esports | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Arcade Esports | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…5e37backed Mindfreak | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5052…564cbacked Mindfreak | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Mindfreak | 80c | 25.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…6e36backed Arcade Esports | 69c | 25.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Arcade Esports | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Mindfreak | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Mindfreak | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…b591backed Arcade Esports | 58c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Mindfreak | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed Mindfreak | 75c | 16.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Arcade Esports | 79c | 13.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports - Map 1 WinnerMindfreak won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.