TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ECSTATICof magic, ECSTATIC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,064 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed magic48c4,867$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.054,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed ECSTATIC37c4,487$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.6721941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked magic47c3,705$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.813,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked magic54c2,361$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.071,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa63e…0b80backed ECSTATIC47c2,010$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked ECSTATIC46c1,900$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f1…c20ebacked ECSTATIC47c1,530$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…251cbacked ECSTATIC55c1,450$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.4914857.4%85 W · 63 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f33…de5bbacked magic2c1,266$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf680…f435backed magic1c1,230$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd875…d55ebacked magic53c1,080$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db4…e152backed ECSTATIC47c1,080$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1466…b101backed ECSTATIC47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c7…7851backed magic53c1,050$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…4145backed magic40c1,031$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.321070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ECSTATIC48c1,003$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.455,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked magic52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.996060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked magic72c938.4$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.673743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed magic51c892.16$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4554158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked ECSTATIC65c802.2$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.726243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed ECSTATIC49c792.42$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.238053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01bc…7b49backed magic53c770$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5de…0673backed magic53c760$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed magic50c756.79$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.1552947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ad…c898backed ECSTATIC15c749.97$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick34cpaid+102.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed magic50c706.7$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.423531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0467…6594backed magic53c680$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab3…eaa4backed magic53c670$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd802…1785backed magic53c660$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked magic57c529.66$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.5360%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed ECSTATIC49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25569635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdd7…05d8backed magic57c498.24$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2831752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic50c485.14$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.716,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4116…2d0bbacked magic17c422.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.922623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed magic47c420.83$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.025,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed magic55c404.58$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1544743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed magic66c399.55$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26428254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a2…dc15backed magic18c396.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.443043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed ECSTATIC71c376.31$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2317249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed magic49c354.43$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511538.3%44 W · 71 L-15.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed ECSTATIC60c352.53$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0124457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC52c330.26$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.737,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…1761backed magic22c325.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738748.3%42 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed ECSTATIC55c320.11$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8712259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked ECSTATIC68c302.35$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7510261.8%63 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked magic54c298.05$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked magic33c293.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0316235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fde…1c3cbacked ECSTATIC50c258.63$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.635651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked magic39c254.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd7…ebb7backed ECSTATIC49c202.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.25269.2%36 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked magic78c196.07$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.937255.6%40 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked ECSTATIC51c194.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9858149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed magic39c192$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.519447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0e…7cd8backed ECSTATIC47c170.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.681040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…d550backed ECSTATIC60c167.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.588149.4%40 W · 41 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed magic60c167.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013363.9%85 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed magic55c163.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012357.7%71 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed ECSTATIC62c154.84$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.843844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked ECSTATIC26c151.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7861854.9%339 W · 279 L-18.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked ECSTATIC46c149.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9926635.7%95 W · 171 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed ECSTATIC34c149.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.125034%17 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked ECSTATIC49c144.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.271,08731.9%347 W · 740 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed magic55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic44c133.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.175,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked magic48c131.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6826257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed magic37c126.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.923548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387b…c1a5backed magic80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked magic35c120.72$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.426224.2%15 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed ECSTATIC20c116.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5157422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed ECSTATIC43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2824038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked ECSTATIC75c110.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.659552.6%50 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e7…174fbacked magic66c104.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694040%16 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe56a…0edfbacked magic56c100.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed magic80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806157.4%35 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed magic80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed magic52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5250340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed magic64c90.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.927669.7%53 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed ECSTATIC25c89.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5924535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f4…ba36backed ECSTATIC57c85.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.951850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed magic35c85.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.613256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked magic54c85.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4619043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed ECSTATIC46c83.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9287244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed ECSTATIC53c83.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3841054.6%224 W · 186 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x122a…c326backed ECSTATIC27c74.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.332437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb615…c187backed magic57c71.87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked magic33c60.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked magic44c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5691648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked magic67c59.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.193650%18 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…b3edbacked magic34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0650…6875backed ECSTATIC72c58.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed ECSTATIC54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611650%58 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7f…02d4backed magic71c55.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba2b…122fbacked ECSTATIC36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed ECSTATIC47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1914439.6%57 W · 87 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf24…1208backed magic39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8695…9afabacked magic40c50.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203246.9%15 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked magic51c50.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.638636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked magic37c48.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.915648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed ECSTATIC52c47.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3896049.7%477 W · 483 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed magic31c46.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.