TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x122a…c326

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+64.6%+$58.11
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffsbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: TDK vs WW Team (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100.5%+$20.1
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Cbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: magic vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+271.7%+$54.33
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs METANOIAGG (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Abacked METANOIAGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.2
Counter-Strike: magic vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked ex-KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+170%+$84.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+310%+$124
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs 5Actors (BO3) - IZI WEX Group Abacked 5Actors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Novaq (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+144.3%+$72.17
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.