NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28703fc4d599dd99aa972d428c287f531b361e1960167748cd46dd0bf43590d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Lightning, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lightning | 56c | 122,716$68,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,721.22 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wild | 44c | 115,000$50,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,400 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 55c | 24,083$13,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,192.27 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 44c | 18,799$8,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,522.25 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wild | 44c | 14,987$6,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,393.5 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Wild | 45c | 11,096$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,102.75 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Wild | 44c | 10,227$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,727.27 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Wild | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Wild | 45c | 9,100$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 56c | 8,344$4,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.29 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 56c | 8,200$4,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.97 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 56c | 7,830$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.71 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Lightning | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Lightning | 27c | 5,900$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.15 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 45c | 5,699$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.46 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Lightning | 56c | 5,582$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lightning | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Wild | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 23c | 4,921$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.85 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lightning | 35c | 4,401$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.9 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Lightning | 57c | 4,395$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 48c | 4,215$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.88 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 44c | 4,002$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.51 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lightning | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 55c | 3,838$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lightning | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 45c | 3,439$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.63 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Wild | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Lightning | 40c | 2,816$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 70c | 2,680$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.35 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Wild | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.95 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 22c | 2,386$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.64 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 55c | 2,352$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.6 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Lightning | 19c | 2,097$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.3 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 43c | 2,090$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.11 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lightning | 42c | 2,009$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.57 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lightning | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Lightning | 55c | 1,889$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lightning | 56c | 1,783$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.38 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Lightning | 23c | 1,626$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Wild | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wild | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 55c | 1,465$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.55 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4477…f882backed Lightning | 57c | 1,352$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Lightning | 25c | 1,313$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.34 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wild | 68c | 1,313$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.59 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 39c | 1,313$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.2 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lightning | 18c | 1,250$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Lightning | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Wild | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.89 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lightning | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Wild | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.8 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Lightning | 39c | 1,018$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Lightning | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lightning | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Wild | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wild | 45c | 963$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.65 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Lightning | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Lightning | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Lightning | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Lightning | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Wild | 63c | 800.78$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.45 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wild | 73c | 792.25$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Wild | 44c | 785$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.6 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf252…fa0abacked Wild | 44c | 743.48$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.35 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…56dfbacked Wild | 44c | 740.02$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.41 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Lightning | 42c | 715.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 44c | 714.7$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.23 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Lightning | 53c | 710.13$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.37 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Lightning | 12c | 669$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…3838backed Wild | 44c | 657.84$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…467cbacked Lightning | 13c | 601.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Lightning | 21c | 600$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lightning | 32c | 591.17$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Lightning | 42c | 590.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…c074backed Lightning | 57c | 580.56$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…5905backed Lightning | 57c | 555.32$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Lightning | 12c | 555$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 44c | 542.62$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.52 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Lightning | 56c | 540$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47c…9323backed Lightning | 57c | 505.06$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Lightning | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…1e92backed Wild | 44c | 495.45$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Lightning | 56c | 482.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3d…4239backed Lightning | 57c | 448.89$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Wild | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lightning | 16c | 414.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 55c | 412.4$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.82 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Lightning | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Lightning | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Lightning | 41c | 383$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…10f2backed Lightning | 57c | 364.14$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Lightning | 40c | 362.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lightning | 23c | 359$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Wildthis page
- Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.