NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd375074b1ce74c9130658624ec802d71ebebc09a66532ead328fddbe5c45ec5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $721,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $722,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $721,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 416,874$198,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,453.96 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 53c | 218,101$115,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,086.33 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,999.97 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 48c | 158,209$75,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,858.16 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 131,207$68,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,979.38 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,600 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 54,099$28,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,752.66 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Over | 0c | 34,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 6,493$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.68 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 6,119$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.9 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 55c | 4,839$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.45 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 53c | 4,767$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.27 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked Under | 53c | 3,530$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 52c | 3,008$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.04 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 2,800$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.36 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 57c | 1,289$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.08 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 1,093$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.37 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 55c | 944$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.8 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 45c | 941$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.45 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 925.65$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.02 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 847.52$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.46 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 48c | 669.22$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 47c | 632.69$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.69 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 48c | 619.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 489$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 46c | 431.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 398.32$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 54c | 285.43$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 268.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 46c | 268$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 53c | 218.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 53c | 209.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 53c | 201.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 199$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 54c | 185.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 181.93$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 44c | 170.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 60c | 169.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…7913backed Under | 74c | 168.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316d…de3cbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 54c | 163$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 36c | 159$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 154.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under | 72c | 138.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 128.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 43c | 126.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 54c | 107.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…c9d0backed Under | 54c | 93.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 54c | 89.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 58c | 75.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 40c | 73.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 51c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 46c | 52.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 59c | 50.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…01aebacked Over | 47c | 48.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 47.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Over | 48c | 40.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 40.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 54c | 37.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…259ebacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 57c | 31.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…dd01backed Under | 54c | 27.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 27.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 54c | 25.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 55c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6566…4be4backed Under | 67c | 24.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556f…f4e4backed Under | 55c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 46c | 22.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…947ebacked Over | 47c | 21.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed Under | 56c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 53c | 19.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under | 72c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Lightning vs. WildWild won
- Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.