CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478332c9fd18d5565aa0a5ac6eca2e2274e890926ca6050c0352713a78ba7675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof 1WIN, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,559 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked 1WIN | 50c | 1,850$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed WHITEBIRD | 24c | 840.65$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN | 53c | 758.03$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed WHITEBIRD | 24c | 599.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.59 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked 1WIN | 53c | 554.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WHITEBIRD | 49c | 552.83$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.66 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked 1WIN | 50c | 546.23$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…7aa4backed WHITEBIRD | 47c | 416.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed 1WIN | 78c | 404.69$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.24 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed WHITEBIRD | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ba…db58backed 1WIN | 80c | 380$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WHITEBIRD | 29c | 374.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked WHITEBIRD | 52c | 299.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed WHITEBIRD | 50c | 298.72$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WHITEBIRD | 37c | 251.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…c7d1backed 1WIN | 43c | 231.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed 1WIN | 53c | 210.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked WHITEBIRD | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked WHITEBIRD | 47c | 200.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed 1WIN | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 1WIN | 42c | 177.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…58c7backed WHITEBIRD | 49c | 170.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed WHITEBIRD | 49c | 150.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked 1WIN | 50c | 123.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked WHITEBIRD | 50c | 119.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked WHITEBIRD | 58c | 116.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…8785backed 1WIN | 75c | 108.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked 1WIN | 50c | 108.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 1WIN | 56c | 107.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked WHITEBIRD | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked WHITEBIRD | 48c | 98.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked 1WIN | 19c | 82.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed WHITEBIRD | 36c | 77.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked WHITEBIRD | 46c | 69.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed WHITEBIRD | 31c | 68.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed WHITEBIRD | 52c | 61.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked 1WIN | 21c | 61.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed 1WIN | 50c | 60.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked 1WIN | 51c | 58.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked WHITEBIRD | 25c | 56.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked 1WIN | 75c | 53.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed WHITEBIRD | 34c | 52.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cac…e62ebacked WHITEBIRD | 46c | 43.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed 1WIN | 50c | 42.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed 1WIN | 62c | 40.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…c326backed WHITEBIRD | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed WHITEBIRD | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked WHITEBIRD | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 53c | 33.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…29e4backed 1WIN | 76c | 32.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked WHITEBIRD | 77c | 31.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked WHITEBIRD | 49c | 30.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed 1WIN | 49c | 30.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed WHITEBIRD | 76c | 30.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed 1WIN | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked WHITEBIRD | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…d25bbacked 1WIN | 64c | 21.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…4c01backed 1WIN | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…e660backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.