CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a519cac4d997f6bbbcfd1ac00777050106dcc26dc3a883c8a8430686b11191c

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Astralisof Astralis, 3DMAX
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $475,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $551,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,197 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked 3DMAX	36c	169,282$61,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,584.08	424	40.3%171 W · 253 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Astralis	64c	128,069$81,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,359.66	233	55.4%129 W · 104 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb2…8586backed Astralis	63c	50,000$31,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,499.98	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Astralis	62c	50,000$31,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,999.97	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked 3DMAX	38c	40,000$15,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,200	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX	37c	20,000$7,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,400	724	53.7%389 W · 335 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Astralis	63c	18,071$11,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,752.48	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 3DMAX	36c	13,121$4,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,767.5	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Astralis	63c	12,222$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,522.14	92	56.5%52 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Astralis	63c	10,000$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,700	458	48.5%222 W · 236 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed 3DMAX	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	228	49.6%113 W · 115 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 3DMAX	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,699.99	670	41.8%280 W · 390 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed 3DMAX	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,699.96	379	46.4%176 W · 203 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX	37c	8,213$3,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,038.72	598	39.6%237 W · 361 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed 3DMAX	38c	7,869$2,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,977.61	124	41.1%51 W · 73 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed Astralis	63c	7,500$4,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,775	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX	4c	5,419$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.99	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX	37c	5,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.94	716	45.9%329 W · 387 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e9…fcc9backed Astralis	63c	4,762$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,761.9	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Astralis	64c	4,691$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.34	257	51.8%133 W · 124 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Astralis	61c	4,114$2,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,604.51	392	49%192 W · 200 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 3DMAX	38c	3,945$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.1	358	50.8%182 W · 176 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Astralis	63c	3,921$2,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450.59	656	50.3%330 W · 326 L	-15.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Astralis	62c	3,889$2,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,477.71	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140	421	42%177 W · 244 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed 3DMAX	37c	3,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.97	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed 3DMAX	8c	2,816$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.62	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Astralis	63c	2,561$1,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947.57	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 3DMAX	35c	2,558$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.46	285	38.2%109 W · 176 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed 3DMAX	39c	2,483$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.67	187	52.4%98 W · 89 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed 3DMAX	4c	2,012$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.16	178	47.8%85 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 3DMAX	37c	2,000$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	1,411	33.7%475 W · 936 L	+42.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 3DMAX	38c	2,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed 3DMAX	38c	1,993$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.48	99	54.5%54 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 3DMAX	35c	1,831$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	528	37.1%196 W · 332 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Astralis	63c	1,700$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629	844	54.3%458 W · 386 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis	63c	1,698$1,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.41	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x669c…7c68backed Astralis	63c	1,647$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX	9c	1,572$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.75	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Astralis	65c	1,538$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.46	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed 3DMAX	31c	1,503$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.63	259	34%88 W · 171 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed 3DMAX	38c	1,500$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	135	45.9%62 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Astralis	63c	1,467$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.85	253	52.2%132 W · 121 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed 3DMAX	38c	1,429$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543	209	44%92 W · 117 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis	65c	1,400$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX	18c	1,301$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.73	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed 3DMAX	37c	1,264$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.61	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed 3DMAX	39c	1,239$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.39	151	41.7%63 W · 88 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed 3DMAX	38c	1,231$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.78	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed 3DMAX	16c	1,214$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.28	130	30.8%40 W · 90 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed Astralis	63c	1,188$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.6	92	68.5%63 W · 29 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Astralis	64c	1,176$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.16	608	57.2%348 W · 260 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX	8c	1,021$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.08	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked 3DMAX	37c	1,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed 3DMAX	37c	1,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	118	52.5%62 W · 56 L	+10.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed 3DMAX	2c	1,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	176	17%30 W · 146 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX	39c	994.2$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.57	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis	64c	955$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.8	552	36.2%200 W · 352 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked 3DMAX	24c	875.49$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	1,078	32%345 W · 733 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed 3DMAX	38c	830.21$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.48	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-8.2wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed Astralis	65c	800$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	242	62%150 W · 92 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Astralis	63c	793.65$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.65	252	61.5%155 W · 97 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0faa…e972backed Astralis	63c	793.65$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.65	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Astralis	64c	781.25$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.25	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX	10c	750$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX	11c	750$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Astralis	64c	721.13$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.61	124	65.3%81 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed 3DMAX	27c	711.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.24	243	39.5%96 W · 147 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX	37c	700$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259	1,144	49.4%565 W · 579 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked 3DMAX	5c	671.2$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Astralis	64c	656.25$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.25	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Astralis	63c	630.59$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.59	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed 3DMAX	38c	626$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.88	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 3DMAX	38c	600$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	463	45.6%211 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed 3DMAX	33c	600$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	150	45.3%68 W · 82 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX	10c	571$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed 3DMAX	37c	564$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.4	872	44.8%391 W · 481 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Astralis	69c	541.96$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.61	608	48%292 W · 316 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Astralis	62c	510$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.8	420	50%210 W · 210 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed 3DMAX	36c	500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	241	34.4%83 W · 158 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Astralis	63c	500$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed 3DMAX	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	342	35.4%121 W · 221 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed 3DMAX	39c	483.38$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.12	462	43.3%200 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbc4…91a1backed Astralis	63c	476.19$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.19	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8fc…ad4bbacked Astralis	63c	476$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.12	68	73.5%50 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed 3DMAX	38c	466$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.08	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Astralis	63c	458.97$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.82	676	51.8%350 W · 326 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Astralis	68c	452.3$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.78	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc53d…52b3backed 3DMAX	12c	436.97$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Astralis	71c	423.03$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.03	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Astralis	63c	416.49$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.1	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ba…db58backed Astralis	64c	413.2$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.75	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed 3DMAX	9c	412.61$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.27	217	23%50 W · 167 L	-35.4wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Astralis	62c	400$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed 3DMAX	38c	400$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Astralis	63c	400$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	454	55.1%250 W · 204 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed 3DMAX	17c	362.71$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.66	69	15.9%11 W · 58 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Astralis	62c	360$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.8	242	49.2%119 W · 123 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 3DMAX	22c	350$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.5	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked 3DMAX	10c	330.12$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.65	596	47.3%282 W · 314 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1this page
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)Astralis won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event