TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX47c12,097$5,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,687.872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis59c6,955$4,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.313,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Astralis53c6,420$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.458444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Astralis53c3,270$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.94630.4%14 W · 32 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed 3DMAX44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3207537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Astralis78c1,869$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.029153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Astralis73c1,608$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed 3DMAX19c1,545$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.933452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 3DMAX32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Astralis52c1,249$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.0314847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Astralis79c1,227$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8720838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed 3DMAX45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.954949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 3DMAX46c1,094$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.731,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Astralis72c1,040$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9722448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX41c1,040$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.45,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX31c1,000$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.178639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed 3DMAX26c999.96$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9213545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Astralis68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.352166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Astralis64c842.44$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.0415760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 3DMAX14c645.42$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3630726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed 3DMAX33c606.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc21…40fabacked 3DMAX34c572$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed 3DMAX45c552.81$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4925934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis52c513.44$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.022,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX28c507.54$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.586,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x776b…1611backed 3DMAX7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked 3DMAX47c468.9$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c4…1663backed 3DMAX34c432$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX9c407.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.622,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked 3DMAX25c400$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x663b…f860backed Astralis53c321.45$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed 3DMAX21c299.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6241645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX47c288.88$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.774,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee81…5704backed Astralis66c282$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a8…6932backed Astralis66c281$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis78c280$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis74c272.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.11,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa843…41b3backed Astralis66c256$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked 3DMAX21c250$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9531933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Astralis53c245$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1510841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis71c208.02$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis69c204.03$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.737,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Astralis53c200.12$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0619549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX25c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.884,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Astralis53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9413947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Astralis53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.853,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f99…f4d5backed Astralis53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.685461.1%33 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2afb…6d73backed Astralis66c185$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed 3DMAX47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.647641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked 3DMAX31c148.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4626438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4833…17d5backed 3DMAX15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207622.4%17 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Astralis73c126$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1795849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked 3DMAX18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 3DMAX13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed 3DMAX33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Astralis54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465662.5%35 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked 3DMAX31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3131852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked 3DMAX49c90.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis68c90.12$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.845,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Astralis52c86.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6916250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked 3DMAX23c80.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked 3DMAX40c75.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Astralis74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3218265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Astralis74c70.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2345956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d38…dee2backed 3DMAX29c65.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed 3DMAX33c61.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 3DMAX40c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Astralis53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.519155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astralis77c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.221,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 3DMAX37c38.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.212,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Astralis53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7410541%43 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX32c37.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.952,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Astralis73c35.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6815160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Astralis68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5429244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Astralis79c29.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2759647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Astralis53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.161233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Astralis74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0319935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Astralis52c25.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1152951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 3DMAX47c25.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84729.8%14 W · 33 L-9.3wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Astralis68c21.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8438844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Astralis53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411450%57 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6bbb…2948backed Astralis66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.817070%119 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Astralis64c17.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2727556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Astralis73c13.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.775750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.