TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 3DMAX12c16,000$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.9930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Astralis65c5,500$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.9916448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked 3DMAX35c4,444$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.49739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX36c3,901$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.9159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed 3DMAX34c3,874$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31723355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis80c3,012$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.131,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis65c2,090$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.5546949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis66c2,080$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.122550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis69c2,024$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.1133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed 3DMAX34c1,474$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1920944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked 3DMAX35c1,450$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.58444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Astralis76c1,304$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.815248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed 3DMAX33c1,241$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9225934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed 3DMAX35c1,022$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.517247.7%82 W · 90 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis66c1,000$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8855845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Astralis66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked 3DMAX29c989.54$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4427947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Astralis69c867.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.232166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Astralis66c817.14$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2789246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed 3DMAX34c785.31$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0924233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Astralis66c760.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5242050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX27c714.32$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.621,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc53d…52b3backed Astralis70c712.89$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.653850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked 3DMAX7c671.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4745162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked 3DMAX34c586$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009147.3%43 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed Astralis64c560$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.64643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed 3DMAX36c556$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1655236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227f…405dbacked Astralis66c510$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed 3DMAX34c509.65$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.283458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Astralis66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17022358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Astralis75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6728254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis65c459.58$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.851,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Astralis66c454.02$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.824847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed 3DMAX35c451.57$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0546243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked Astralis66c403.41$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8215063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Astralis66c400$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX28c390.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.611,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked 3DMAX28c355.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Astralis65c349.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12460848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Astralis66c349$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6625651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Astralis65c309.83$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4426251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed 3DMAX35c288.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX25c280.62$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.813,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6e…8626backed Astralis76c252$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX23c250$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.74,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8686…855fbacked Astralis67c244$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4421…3bb4backed 3DMAX33c238$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…2ce1backed Astralis67c237$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b9…bc4ebacked 3DMAX33c214$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a0…03e6backed 3DMAX24c212$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x776b…1611backed 3DMAX30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed 3DMAX7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Astralis68c199.38$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3832561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…9592backed Astralis76c197$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c59…7004backed 3DMAX24c189$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ceb…967abacked 3DMAX24c183$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb35…1fa2backed 3DMAX33c179$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked 3DMAX27c174.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.359647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Astralis69c172.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8611340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…78bdbacked Astralis67c165$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Astralis66c152.94$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5231654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Astralis67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012158.7%71 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106f…d28fbacked Astralis66c149.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.994763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5683…6096backed Astralis76c136$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Astralis65c134.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2566753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Astralis75c134.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5636554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Astralis66c114.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4133456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked 3DMAX15c113.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0669624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX27c112.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.771,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f5…9639backed 3DMAX36c110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Astralis80c108.3$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.894953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Astralis65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3529465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Astralis75c86.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6718265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…806dbacked Astralis66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.764957.1%28 W · 21 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed 3DMAX23c69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8729831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Astralis65c68.92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.121163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX34c64.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.594,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Astralis66c64.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9120732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Astralis66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.429244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX35c57.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.735,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Astralis75c50.34$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5819549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis69c50.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Astralis77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed 3DMAX32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.582,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis76c46.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.326,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Astralis66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4560857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked Astralis66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX31c35.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 3DMAX32c33.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.762,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc7…a2a4backed Astralis66c33.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2312162.8%76 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed 3DMAX33c31.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3738844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Astralis66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.352449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d38…dee2backed Astralis65c27.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.694658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x806c…d4fbbacked Astralis66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.143655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bbb…2948backed Astralis66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.817070%119 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Astralis66c18.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1952951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead6…b510backed Astralis66c16.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.675651.8%29 W · 27 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.