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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof magic, TDK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x503a…860abacked TDK6c7,717$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.489139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked magic60c3,161$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.253,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic36c1,486$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.1784454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…893abacked TDK2c1,429$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed TDK65c1,281$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.1116750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed TDK28c1,050$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2944621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked magic36c1,018$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481,63444.7%731 W · 903 L+4.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed magic29c1,005$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.078436.9%31 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic37c1,000$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.515,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked TDK37c955.87$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5327947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6dd…858abacked TDK4c885.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.26728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-60.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked TDK64c772.72$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.549739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…b3a0backed TDK40c752.18$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked magic76c658.47$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked TDK64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3846060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed TDK64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38476546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed TDK24c560.37$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13652947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed magic36c494.8$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.675,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed magic63c476.28$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.854,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed TDK22c454.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013943.9%61 W · 78 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic59c365.15$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.238,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed TDK64c365.06$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8287244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed TDK37c301.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11369635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked TDK62c296$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7317050%85 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed magic64c293.96$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6729840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked magic71c262.27$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8326257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed TDK64c260$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.417347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed magic42c235.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic42c234.05$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.116,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed magic25c232.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.824,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed TDK27c230.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.628254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x026b…19fcbacked TDK72c216.33$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.82875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed TDK65c213.57$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8238939.3%153 W · 236 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed magic76c212.96$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.215352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…4b7cbacked TDK18c206.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+87.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed TDK27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5450340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed TDK65c192.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12559049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2b…effbbacked TDK62c188.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.171457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed TDK12c187.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.285427.8%15 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1427…145abacked TDK25c179.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.16955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked magic52c177.61$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.741566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed TDK32c174.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.022,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x96e6…e118backed TDK40c163.74$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed magic69c163.3$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3752755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed TDK62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed magic32c160.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4921956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed TDK67c150$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10067651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked magic36c148.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.871,74047%817 W · 923 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked magic65c147.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7245956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x122a…c326backed TDK36c139.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed magic66c137.66$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4541054.6%224 W · 186 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed magic56c136.43$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.792055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf52…8715backed magic75c132.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed magic68c131.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8396349.6%478 W · 485 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed magic77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8741847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked TDK64c125$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014541.4%60 W · 85 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked TDK64c123.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked magic36c120.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.181,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked magic62c113.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.353,25651.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L+89.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5261…3ddbbacked magic65c113.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.421566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891b…67b5backed TDK15c110$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed TDK58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked magic73c99.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.833959%23 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked TDK19c89.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed TDK23c85.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed magic18c84.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.185630.4%17 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed TDK24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9550…ed14backed magic74c81.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked magic15c79.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7621623.6%51 W · 165 L-27.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-39.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed magic34c73.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.886158.1%500 W · 361 L+59.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb64f…3203backed magic69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed magic80c71.01$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.342653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed TDK64c69.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7832845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked TDK63c68.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2270038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked magic34c66.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.216642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed magic33c66.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4419850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c26…affabacked TDK76c65.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed TDK40c63.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaae…fc91backed magic67c59.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…8eb1backed magic68c58.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4610051%51 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked TDK50c57.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.832139.3%126 W · 195 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked TDK47c52.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb87d…a528backed TDK79c50.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed magic77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67766.2%51 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54cf…e36dbacked TDK64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d6c…02b5backed TDK62c45.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed TDK51c41.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4170432.1%226 W · 478 L-45.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5f4…07b6backed magic59c38.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed TDK66c37.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed magic60c33.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.496246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked TDK39c31.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0919350.3%97 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked magic42c30.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9517659.7%105 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked magic39c30.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.778150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a38…2a21backed TDK65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe102…67babacked magic78c28.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick68cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7d9…3bfebacked TDK53c28.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked TDK63c27.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2513053.8%70 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed magic77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc48…7992backed magic60c24.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.941963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked magic55c21.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.573451.1%375 W · 359 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.