CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs TDK - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5821cd1d0399b070c09fed95c941779850444deac59471b7fc4aecdaf1c325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed TDK | 1c | 7,133$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 42c | 516.41$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.18 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 70c | 266.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed magic | 29c | 260.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked TDK | 69c | 228.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 45c | 210.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked magic | 32c | 197.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 55c | 184.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked magic | 32c | 161.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed TDK | 60c | 135.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 43c | 133.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 45c | 114.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…c84dbacked TDK | 60c | 86.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 71c | 81.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed TDK | 68c | 71.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…5232backed magic | 30c | 69.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked magic | 30c | 36.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…102fbacked magic | 30c | 35.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed magic | 33c | 31.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked TDK | 58c | 26.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked TDK | 51c | 20.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed TDK | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed TDK | 73c | 17.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed TDK | 77c | 13.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsmagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.