CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs METANOIAGG (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dceac1a006329454c00b2c3a31a0ccf8e9ddee0051f3c4db470f4ff4d34b965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, METANOIAGG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed METANOIAGG | 0c | 11,142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Imperial | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.96 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIAGG | 44c | 2,615$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed METANOIAGG | 24c | 2,182$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.51 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Imperial | 55c | 2,163$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.13 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed METANOIAGG | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5e…e6febacked METANOIAGG | 7c | 1,010$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked METANOIAGG | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 70c | 452.28$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Imperial | 58c | 387.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed METANOIAGG | 6c | 378.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc5…625dbacked METANOIAGG | 6c | 305.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Imperial | 57c | 227.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…7818backed METANOIAGG | 45c | 191.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed METANOIAGG | 13c | 171.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked METANOIAGG | 16c | 112.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…c326backed METANOIAGG | 46c | 107.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…6ceebacked METANOIAGG | 39c | 104.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…83b8backed METANOIAGG | 26c | 77.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…122fbacked METANOIAGG | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…68bfbacked METANOIAGG | 41c | 69.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04f…c4e4backed METANOIAGG | 29c | 68.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…d0aabacked METANOIAGG | 22c | 67.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Imperial | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked METANOIAGG | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Imperial | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Imperial | 65c | 53.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…7263backed METANOIAGG | 35c | 42.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed METANOIAGG | 40c | 37.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked METANOIAGG | 37c | 35.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked METANOIAGG | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked METANOIAGG | 43c | 29.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Imperial | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs METANOIAGG (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs METANOIAGG - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIAGG won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs METANOIAGG - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.