NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe148623eebe6fb8d7fc274d16c94357e50940febfafdbd51fded580ec5927575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Canadiens, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canadiens | 56c | 134,000$75,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,040 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sharks | 44c | 105,191$46,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,906.93 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 60c | 20,128$11,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,133.48 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Canadiens | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Sharks | 44c | 16,486$7,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,231.97 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Canadiens | 56c | 11,607$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 55c | 10,200$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,611.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Sharks | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Canadiens | 25c | 9,610$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.09 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sharks | 44c | 7,161$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,010.11 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 44c | 7,117$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.46 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Canadiens | 13c | 7,083$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Sharks | 45c | 5,895$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.1 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens | 56c | 5,801$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.56 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Sharks | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Sharks | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks | 44c | 5,097$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Sharks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 44c | 4,096$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.92 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sharks | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Canadiens | 25c | 3,746$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.95 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bca…126ebacked Canadiens | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Sharks | 48c | 3,554$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.2 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Canadiens | 55c | 3,503$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.85 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sharks | 69c | 3,407$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.75 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked Sharks | 77c | 3,335$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sharks | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Sharks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sharks | 44c | 2,868$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.29 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 55c | 2,841$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.37 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Canadiens | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Canadiens | 10c | 2,316$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canadiens | 15c | 2,230$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.62 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Canadiens | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Sharks | 71c | 2,193$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.52 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,192$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.02 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Sharks | 46c | 2,181$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.18 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks | 50c | 2,177$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.44 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 14c | 2,105$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Sharks | 46c | 2,086$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.13 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Sharks | 69c | 2,032$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.82 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…3f07backed Canadiens | 13c | 1,953$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sharks | 69c | 1,942$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.09 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,929$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.4 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks | 44c | 1,772$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.01 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.04 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 61c | 1,654$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.5 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens | 55c | 1,622$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.16 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks | 60c | 1,499$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.54 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sharks | 45c | 1,478$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.4 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,443$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.65 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 55c | 1,423$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.58 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 43c | 1,213$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.81 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Canadiens | 70c | 1,190$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.21 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee1…750cbacked Canadiens | 56c | 1,185$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 48c | 1,171$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.59 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…416ebacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,150$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…c287backed Sharks | 45c | 1,150$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,137$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.6 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Sharks | 76c | 1,120$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.2 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sharks | 72c | 1,105$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,102$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.84 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,100$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.97 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,021$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.3 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 46c | 1,008$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.64 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Canadiens | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canadiens | 42c | 994.4$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Canadiens | 12c | 905.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 45c | 903$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.65 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Canadiens | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Canadiens | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Sharks | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 56c | 854.21$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.91 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Canadiens | 50c | 800.42$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.21 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sharks | 78c | 789.93$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Canadiens | 31c | 768$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Sharks | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Canadiens | 56c | 740$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Canadiens | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…56dfbacked Canadiens | 55c | 684.73$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Canadiens | 27c | 666.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Canadiens | 42c | 664.53$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canadiens | 17c | 622$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 46c | 593.82$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Sharks | 46c | 545.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Canadiens | 55c | 531.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.59 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…a264backed Canadiens | 55c | 503.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Canadiens | 68c | 501.3$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Sharks | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Canadiens | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Canadiens | 36c | 494.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Canadiens | 55c | 486.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Canadiens | 56c | 482.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Canadiens | 24c | 476.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…bd3fbacked Sharks | 46c | 462.41$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sharksthis page
- Canadiens vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.