TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof NIP, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$838,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$885,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $838,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked NRG42c103,856$43,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,934.9539249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed NIP58c51,136$29,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,44322049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked NIP56c28,290$15,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,447.4415245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed NRG44c26,638$11,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,708.5321048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed NIP76c20,000$15,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.759551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NRG43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9572453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked NIP58c16,719$9,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,045.026048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked NIP52c15,463$7,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,497.8332348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NRG42c14,123$5,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,931.6283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed NIP58c12,695$7,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,373.5912648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG44c10,386$4,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,539.2122448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc899…6d9dbacked NRG43c10,232$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed NIP56c9,030$5,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,974.7241649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked NIP57c8,158$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.7827133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed NIP78c7,813$6,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.21485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked NRG46c7,317$3,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,368.8747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed NRG44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.9835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked NRG43c6,915$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.2417148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked NRG32c6,813$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.441723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed NRG40c6,717$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.529153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed NIP50c6,499$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.4458651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked NRG47c5,727$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.9565650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed NIP76c5,649$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.135354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed NIP58c5,629$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.3719455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked NIP57c5,566$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.9425751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aea…5df2backed NIP57c5,535$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG58c5,062$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.861,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NIP34c5,008$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.682,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed NIP51c5,002$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.082450%12 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed NRG42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1007940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed NIP56c4,997$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.5324550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked NRG44c4,990$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18719834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0106…c4ddbacked NIP57c4,698$2,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed NIP52c4,695$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.0917249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x669c…7c68backed NRG19c4,633$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked NIP50c4,500$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.9916240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked NIP58c4,360$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed NIP57c4,011$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.3911361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e9…fcc9backed NIP57c4,004$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.325954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed NIP51c3,947$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.193537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed NRG41c3,587$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.7637946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed NRG43c3,569$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.654555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4597…a6fabacked NRG73c3,512$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.2666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed NRG37c3,441$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.516650%33 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed NIP59c3,385$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.34459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed NRG41c3,353$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.5828344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP65c3,321$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.692,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked NRG47c3,264$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.1742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed NIP57c3,256$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.4984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed NIP50c3,139$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.571645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked NIP35c3,134$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.1230726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked NIP56c3,026$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP58c3,000$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.4546949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed NIP52c3,000$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4557537.3%28 W · 47 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed NRG44c2,884$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26913857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed NRG35c2,842$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.16245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed NIP76c2,817$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.5926360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed NIP57c2,700$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16142142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed NRG36c2,648$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.2656732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked NRG32c2,647$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.265855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG20c2,619$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5181,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed NRG49c2,600$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27412742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed NIP54c2,585$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.211968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NIP56c2,350$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.631,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd228…be67backed NIP57c2,319$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x525a…7038backed NRG43c2,301$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.51250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG40c2,237$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.927,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked NRG46c2,196$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed NIP34c2,135$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.1813043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked NIP63c2,135$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.841,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed NIP46c2,124$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.4226451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed NRG50c2,035$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.5938037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed NIP56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88010952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NIP50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked NIP51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98025555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e5…3c33backed NRG64c1,923$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed NRG40c1,915$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.2913030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed NRG33c1,900$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.6661837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked NRG51c1,855$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.556243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked NRG13c1,835$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.319139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked NRG44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x472d…942cbacked NRG61c1,794$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked NIP56c1,736$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6444…c2fcbacked NIP58c1,697$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked NRG48c1,660$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.822550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NIP51c1,580$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.2360853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0d…5d02backed NRG29c1,571$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.8940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed NRG55c1,546$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.3825352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed NIP69c1,543$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.6524262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed NRG44c1,530$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.1520944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG50c1,506$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.961,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed NIP57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64557358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked NIP46c1,488$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.0418049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed NRG24c1,422$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.512755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x786a…9cd5backed NRG12c1,416$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.41922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed NRG23c1,384$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.3224339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG35c1,346$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.046,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed NIP66c1,330$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.989540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed NRG19c1,319$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506915.9%11 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.