CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf5b5c6e269c3d4b33addc15a250f5b919b7f8cb94a7e5ee11ceac6f4a07d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NRG | 47c | 5,201$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.05 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…a9e0backed NRG | 19c | 4,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed NIP | 68c | 3,401$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.13 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed NIP | 69c | 2,929$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.22 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed NRG | 9c | 2,190$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed NIP | 53c | 1,940$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.8 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked NRG | 47c | 1,940$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.8 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG | 28c | 1,933$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 73c | 1,925$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NIP | 73c | 1,919$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.2 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked NRG | 19c | 1,000$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed NRG | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed NIP | 53c | 1,000$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed NRG | 13c | 1,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed NIP | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 65c | 903.22$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…bf70backed NRG | 5c | 893.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed NRG | 31c | 861.29$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked NRG | 22c | 750$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed NIP | 78c | 722.63$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed NIP | 53c | 665.37$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.72 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed NRG | 49c | 641.21$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed NRG | 26c | 600$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed NIP | 75c | 515$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed NIP | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed NRG | 29c | 367.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG | 18c | 356.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…500cbacked NRG | 12c | 346.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed NIP | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed NRG | 42c | 275$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked NRG | 26c | 250$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NRG | 22c | 235.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed NRG | 17c | 223.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed NRG | 14c | 169.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NRG | 12c | 161.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed NRG | 16c | 133.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NRG | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked NRG | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG | 18c | 103.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked NIP | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked NIP | 54c | 92.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NIP | 55c | 73.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6822…6238backed NRG | 29c | 69.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…d159backed NRG | 16c | 63.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked NRG | 30c | 51.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed NIP | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed NIP | 79c | 45.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked NIP | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked NIP | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked NIP | 80c | 32.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…4601backed NRG | 34c | 32.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…a2a4backed NIP | 69c | 30.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed NRG | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked NRG | 47c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…dce4backed NIP | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed NIP | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed NIP | 68c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked NIP | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1NIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.