TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over51c178,000$90,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,819.9939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c142,234$69,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,694.4322049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Under51c11,112$5,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,667.2727133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88fb…e150backed Over49c10,520$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,365.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa94f…4249backed Under51c10,430$5,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,319.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad0…9d26backed Under51c10,258$5,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,231.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d6…882abacked Under51c9,390$4,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,788.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0365…aef3backed Over49c6,995$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a10…baddbacked Over54c6,083$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6007940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under51c4,985$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.34548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Under51c3,659$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8653537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b61…59a0backed Over53c3,206$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c7…f8e6backed Over49c3,174$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under46c2,898$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.2422045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under47c2,250$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.3323952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Under46c2,122$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97720838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under47c1,284$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.7198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c1,020$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.951,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…9f1cbacked Under51c980.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under49c928.57$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45511646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under49c922.74$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45247147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked Under47c904$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8818043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Over45c798.1$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.9924233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd015…ec55backed Under54c765$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1d…90f0backed Under58c610.75$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over49c544.89$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1513937.4%52 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4694…60acbacked Under49c505$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ec…4c7fbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…b769backed Over46c385$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…68eebacked Over46c380$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Under51c323.53$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1659646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Under4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5013…8643backed Under6c276.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over41c205$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.535,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Under51c201.22$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.522927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over46c192.13$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8525337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over42c186.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9528046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over50c154.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.131735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under52c142.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7416444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over54c125.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8911340.7%46 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over44c117.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9313246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Under49c115.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4817148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Under48c113.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3612152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.945662.5%35 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.341,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Under50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4417153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked Over50c79.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.651656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under28c50.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.046224.2%15 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc212…c8ebbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.944,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3713…18bfbacked Over52c48.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.021735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over40c48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.693,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over41c46.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.73718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Over47c44.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.686251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Over50c42.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over43c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.061,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under48c41.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5334943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0745956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2247165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…a3abbacked Under51c38.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206764.2%43 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ff3…a69ebacked Over40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Over55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7555749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over38c31.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.551,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over40c31.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9271951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.381246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over51c29.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6925143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b9…6048backed Under60c29.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6145…3e2bbacked Under54c27.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over58c23.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.638444%37 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under49c22.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.033658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e0…3a5fbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.256454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be7…bf37backed Under57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43040%12 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…b57fbacked Over52c19.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.