TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,220,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,220,437 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20a2…dc15backed Heroic0c320,622$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.623043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4116…2d0bbacked Heroic0c121,340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.372623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41bd…6614backed Heroic0c46,126$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ62c21,831$13,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,295.6519949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic45c20,326$9,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,121.1142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic25c20,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9730726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Heroic27c19,387$5,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,145.5175450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Heroic0c16,653$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3112736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Heroic50c12,801$6,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,372.563852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Heroic39c11,031$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,296.61,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Heroic2c10,994$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick32cpaid-85.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Heroic25c10,475$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.822448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Heroic39c10,335$4,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,068.379153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Heroic58c10,291$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ76c10,040$7,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.644957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed MOUZ75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked MOUZ75c9,200$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3004452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed MOUZ69c9,192$6,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.5535236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Heroic47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,229.986555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Heroic37c8,280$3,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.7315760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic34c7,145$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.2332552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed MOUZ66c6,989$4,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.55580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ66c6,971$4,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.982,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed MOUZ76c6,569$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.5112648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic33c6,568$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.611,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ56c6,554$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.543,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Heroic49c6,087$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.564557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed MOUZ50c6,065$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.519455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ70c5,900$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76342142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic26c5,268$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.421,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic33c5,249$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.511,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed MOUZ76c5,059$3,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.043953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Heroic25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25019645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed MOUZ60c4,901$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.3355845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Heroic24c4,880$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.220539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb20…d0bdbacked MOUZ76c4,783$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.89757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic33c4,602$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.384,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Heroic24c4,444$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.534546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Heroic24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed MOUZ75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.936147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked MOUZ76c3,948$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.525751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ59c3,740$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.345,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Heroic21c3,603$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.7813937.4%52 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked MOUZ61c3,294$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.665341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic37c3,136$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.287,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic26c3,061$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.865,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic47c2,885$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.6198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic24c2,850$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6841,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic47c2,822$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.182,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Heroic29c2,749$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.41,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34dc…3cdcbacked MOUZ77c2,600$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.794055%22 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic46c2,527$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.8264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic38c2,527$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic25c2,351$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.961,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Heroic1c2,310$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0914728.6%42 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Heroic28c2,246$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.1113347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed MOUZ46c2,189$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.42433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heroic20c2,179$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.0456732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic34c2,165$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.32,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd7…05d8backed Heroic64c2,118$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.041752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ75c2,086$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.4684454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Heroic24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic27c2,053$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.9661228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked MOUZ75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ75c2,000$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.8845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked MOUZ49c2,000$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0154946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ69c2,000$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Heroic47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Heroic23c1,966$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7813446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed MOUZ56c1,932$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.598053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Heroic18c1,907$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic21c1,907$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.321,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic29c1,899$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.36,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked MOUZ66c1,899$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.4260857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed MOUZ53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.794351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Heroic25c1,798$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.027142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic34c1,739$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…2b45backed Heroic47c1,652$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.471942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed MOUZ46c1,631$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.656836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked MOUZ76c1,580$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.091533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed MOUZ58c1,577$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.3246843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed MOUZ76c1,514$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.367146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ61c1,500$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Heroic34c1,500$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.9914847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked Heroic28c1,479$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.8327749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Heroic20c1,479$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Heroic38c1,471$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.1419549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed MOUZ66c1,462$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.9415970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Heroic25c1,455$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1827133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Heroic25c1,446$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.57536%27 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed MOUZ74c1,376$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.773855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ62c1,368$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.862,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed MOUZ61c1,334$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7511361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fc…ad4bbacked MOUZ76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.846873.5%50 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MOUZ76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7920458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Heroic1c1,300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.527735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ76c1,296$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.331,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Heroic19c1,270$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.34759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed MOUZ75c1,260$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.