CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19957414c44067a6d615c0fc50993f12a6f061c5d7b54eb0f42f18b1dbe1b4fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,319 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 0c | 3,792$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 57c | 610.14$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…77a8backed Under | 2c | 601.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…28e3backed Over | 38c | 502$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Under | 64c | 313$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…b44ebacked Over | 38c | 310$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…5ed0backed Under | 62c | 263$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 61c | 221.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32c…4007backed Under | 62c | 196$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…4219backed Under | 62c | 166$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…1ce0backed Under | 62c | 162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c6…51d1backed Under | 62c | 154$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…4b6dbacked Over | 38c | 142$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…0a0cbacked Under | 62c | 134$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…55dbbacked Over | 38c | 121$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 40c | 113.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 35c | 76.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 66c | 75.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 40c | 66.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 58.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 40c | 57.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 60c | 53.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Over | 40c | 46.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 58c | 34.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 39c | 29.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 66c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.