CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1527845a35e56a1e9854b5023d15a67bc1fc290a6639f62e04fcb5318022236b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof MOUZ, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,282 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec9e…6748backed MOUZ | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf654…2124backed Heroic | 50c | 10,000$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ | 0c | 4,672$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Heroic | 50c | 2,531$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.64 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Heroic | 48c | 1,820$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.41 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,739$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.58 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed MOUZ | 14c | 1,570$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked MOUZ | 14c | 1,509$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Heroic | 49c | 761.49$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.36 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked MOUZ | 52c | 680$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Heroic | 48c | 679.17$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked MOUZ | 53c | 474$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed MOUZ | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…ded8backed Heroic | 51c | 389$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…4966backed Heroic | 52c | 365$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0405…8bdcbacked Heroic | 52c | 359$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2192…8b9fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 357$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…7603backed MOUZ | 49c | 353$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…77d6backed Heroic | 52c | 332$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…c072backed Heroic | 51c | 315$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…e4f6backed MOUZ | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…7485backed Heroic | 52c | 298$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…63e8backed MOUZ | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…9e01backed Heroic | 51c | 254$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…c770backed MOUZ | 49c | 251$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…2b25backed Heroic | 51c | 249$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…28cdbacked Heroic | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed MOUZ | 39c | 237.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d92…6042backed Heroic | 51c | 236$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4be…4e0dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 234$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Heroic | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…5efebacked Heroic | 52c | 215$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…cd0bbacked Heroic | 52c | 215$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…7d4ebacked Heroic | 52c | 211$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed MOUZ | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Heroic | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed MOUZ | 51c | 195.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heroic | 66c | 195.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…580ebacked Heroic | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…a8cdbacked MOUZ | 48c | 193$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…8ba5backed MOUZ | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Heroic | 49c | 188.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…b20bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 188$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked MOUZ | 54c | 186.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed MOUZ | 53c | 184$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Heroic | 44c | 179$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4a…e137backed MOUZ | 48c | 171$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Heroic | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea35…7027backed MOUZ | 48c | 153$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…0490backed MOUZ | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…8767backed Heroic | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed MOUZ | 61c | 140.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…4506backed MOUZ | 48c | 136$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed MOUZ | 50c | 131.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…2880backed MOUZ | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…7b46backed MOUZ | 48c | 123$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…5f5fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…b1e2backed MOUZ | 48c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…3268backed MOUZ | 48c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe674…9f16backed MOUZ | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38aa…ce73backed MOUZ | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Heroic | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Heroic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed MOUZ | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…c52ebacked MOUZ | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cc…1f81backed MOUZ | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…e663backed MOUZ | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed MOUZ | 49c | 74.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Heroic | 45c | 65.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed MOUZ | 47c | 60.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Heroic | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Heroic | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Heroic | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked MOUZ | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Heroic | 46c | 52.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Heroic | 45c | 52.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Heroic | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked MOUZ | 51c | 44.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed MOUZ | 61c | 41.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Heroic | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Heroic | 55c | 36.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…bcf3backed MOUZ | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked MOUZ | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Heroic | 45c | 30.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Heroic | 45c | 30.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Heroic | 45c | 30.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Heroic | 74c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heroic | 44c | 25.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked Heroic | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Heroic | 47c | 21.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed MOUZ | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.