TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,975 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x065b…714fbacked Heroic0c33,760$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic23c30,046$6,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,761.9130726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4116…2d0bbacked Heroic1c18,112$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.542623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ76c12,033$9,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.413,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed MOUZ54c6,417$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.4919455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ73c6,119$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.11,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ67c5,923$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.4132348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Heroic36c5,401$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.311,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ72c3,959$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.1746949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic28c3,912$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.831,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed MOUZ74c3,139$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.139256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked MOUZ61c2,925$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.631681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked MOUZ73c2,543$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.485855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…77a8backed Heroic42c2,399$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed MOUZ61c2,334$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.912742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Heroic32c2,237$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.53,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ71c2,070$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic33c2,000$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.634,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed MOUZ72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5608050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic40c2,000$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.752,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ71c1,803$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.8464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Heroic30c1,686$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2413347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Heroic46c1,668$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.2721941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic28c1,612$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.862,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Heroic28c1,545$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed MOUZ71c1,535$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.175261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71fa…c7e1backed Heroic27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked MOUZ67c1,402$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.5515760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic14c1,354$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5532552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Heroic46c1,287$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.88053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic33c1,234$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.26,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed MOUZ71c1,219$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4512648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Heroic16c1,135$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.951,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Heroic32c1,021$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.645,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Heroic10c999.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed MOUZ73c965.62$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.7215970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic17c902.58$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.892,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ72c900$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.581,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda1c…15f2backed Heroic40c800.43$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.172250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Heroic30c785.47$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6412021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ74c774.85$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ68c741.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8432548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Heroic35c713.1$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24952947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad5d…df40backed Heroic25c686.72$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed MOUZ77c651.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.33545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic23c607.42$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed MOUZ59c600$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8631444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…4bc4backed Heroic22c593.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.91910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ78c554.47$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9845058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97db…b576backed Heroic16c539.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed MOUZ56c535.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.699565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Heroic49c530.68$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4911240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic13c493$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.85,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked MOUZ54c460$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ62c448.74$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ70c422.2$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.451,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadf5…3cbdbacked Heroic25c420$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Heroic25c406$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5611928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Heroic25c404$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10159343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked MOUZ73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10815063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Heroic28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11254732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked MOUZ67c375.23$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4978963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed MOUZ55c363.79$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8836554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Heroic35c355.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12521137.4%79 W · 132 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15453545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Heroic49c340.82$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16733457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Heroic46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13819652.6%103 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Heroic25c289.68$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.424940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked Heroic49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012946.5%60 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Heroic29c282.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.149153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…8afbbacked MOUZ73c266.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Heroic44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11035848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Heroic34c240.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4144743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic22c212.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.684,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Heroic19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.514728.6%42 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed MOUZ71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed MOUZ51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked MOUZ55c180.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.374555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ79c177.37$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.041,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Heroic46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked MOUZ73c158.85$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4353859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic34c150.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.881,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Heroic32c150.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1462350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x106f…d28fbacked MOUZ56c142.54$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.724763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed MOUZ71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8560358.5%353 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked Heroic45c140.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.029552.6%50 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Heroic36c131.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.833949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked MOUZ76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5844641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Heroic25c130$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3224649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Heroic10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54cf…e36dbacked Heroic27c113$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.513834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked Heroic33c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.54835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed MOUZ79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2147165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed MOUZ60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4019048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed MOUZ76c99.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Heroic25c97.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.321,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb898…151cbacked MOUZ73c95.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8910353.4%55 W · 48 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ72c92.77$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.931,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Heroic22c92.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8817836.5%65 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52fe…a72cbacked Heroic20c87.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.