CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2baddefc9977c761d8b828d0dae48db463e172dc00cd4eac03ef3457ad2223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof MOUZ, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,690 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic | 33c | 20,003$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,401.99 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked MOUZ | 52c | 14,740$7,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,671.14 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 7,827$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.88 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 60c | 7,271$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.55 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 36c | 5,241$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.87 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ | 67c | 5,165$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.71 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed MOUZ | 53c | 4,425$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 3,807$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.45 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c7e1backed Heroic | 30c | 3,418$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 2,915$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.88 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 70c | 2,847$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 28c | 2,551$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Heroic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 40c | 1,953$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.18 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,903$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,467$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,385$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.2 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 39c | 1,357$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Heroic | 38c | 1,317$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.84 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,295$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,237$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.58 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 33c | 1,233$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.36 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked MOUZ | 1c | 1,188$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,109$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.19 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 31c | 1,102$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ | 68c | 1,050$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Heroic | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed MOUZ | 51c | 974.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic | 46c | 900$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 74c | 834$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Heroic | 38c | 827.87$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.09 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed MOUZ | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 32c | 750$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Heroic | 24c | 729.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.17 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed MOUZ | 76c | 700$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed MOUZ | 70c | 622.45$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.72 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 27c | 572.38$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.38 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Heroic | 25c | 571.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.45 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked MOUZ | 46c | 566.57$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Heroic | 36c | 551.59$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.64 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…ec75backed MOUZ | 73c | 527.27$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed MOUZ | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed MOUZ | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed MOUZ | 64c | 470$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked Heroic | 35c | 470$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 63c | 460.46$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed Heroic | 33c | 460$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…113fbacked MOUZ | 66c | 460$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heroic | 29c | 426.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 32c | 382.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.86 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 64c | 377.65$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.22 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…df40backed Heroic | 34c | 366.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Heroic | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Heroic | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Heroic | 26c | 254.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Heroic | 21c | 239.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked MOUZ | 73c | 227.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Heroic | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Heroic | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Heroic | 30c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Heroic | 26c | 199.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…1eabbacked MOUZ | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked MOUZ | 68c | 190.87$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked Heroic | 24c | 184.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MOUZ | 70c | 176$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Heroic | 30c | 175$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 49c | 171.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed MOUZ | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed MOUZ | 61c | 156.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed MOUZ | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MOUZ | 75c | 136.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…c4b8backed MOUZ | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed MOUZ | 71c | 124.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Heroic | 31c | 121.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Heroic | 30c | 118.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed MOUZ | 63c | 114.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Heroic | 69c | 101.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed MOUZ | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1107…026dbacked MOUZ | 71c | 89.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ | 67c | 89.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed MOUZ | 69c | 88.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Heroic | 23c | 85.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…e36dbacked Heroic | 37c | 80.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked MOUZ | 72c | 80.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed MOUZ | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Heroic | 30c | 79.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed MOUZ | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed MOUZ | 73c | 75.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa36d…cbb1backed Heroic | 28c | 71.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Heroic | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Heroic | 37c | 67.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked MOUZ | 74c | 64.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 32c | 64.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heroic | 28c | 63.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Heroic | 26c | 61.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked MOUZ | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Heroic | 26c | 58.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.